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WINCANTON 15:25

Name: BATHWICK TYRES LORD STALBRIDGE MEMORIAL CUP HANDICAP CHASE (Qualifier) (3)
Start: 2016-12-26T12:30:00
End: 2016-12-26T15:55:00
Location: Wincanton

12:30 13:05 13:40 14:15 14:50 15:25 15:55

< 15:25 >

15:25 Mon 26 December 2016	Unlock this Race
BATHWICK TYRES LORD STALBRIDGE MEMORIAL CUP HANDICAP CHASE (Qualifier) (3)	Distance : 3m 1f 30y
Prize : £7,912 Rated : (0-125) Age : 4yo+ Race State : Declaration Runners : 10	Going : Soft (Good to Soft in places)
Race State : Declaration Runners : 10 runners

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DAWSON CITY ⁽³⁷⁾

Tom O'Brien (5)

12-1

N/A

b g MIDNIGHT LEGEND - RUNNING FOR ANNIE GUNNER B

J: Tom O'Brien (5)
T: Polly Gundry

Polly Gundry

(126)

1 DAWSON CITY ⁽³⁷⁾

J: Tom O'Brien (5)
T: Polly Gundry
Age: 7 Wgt: 12-1 OR: 126

N/A

Surpassed winning hurdles form when runner-up over fences here (26.7f) in January. Rather expensive to follow after, but very likely to strip fitter for last month's Ascot reappearance.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	32	3	9	9	28	-12.00
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	111	13	12	48	43	10.51
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	102	11	11	43	42	14.61
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	32	1	3	7	22	-24.50

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
19 Nov 16	Asc	5/9	40	Chase	129	23.8f	Gd/Sft		Andrew Thornton	20/1
4 Apr 16	War	2/5	4.00	Chase	129	24f	Soft		Andrew Thornton	13/82.62f
12 Mar 16	San	2/8	6	Chase	129	24.2f	Soft		Andrew Thornton	15/28.5
13 Feb 16	War	2/3	62	Chase	N	25.5f	Heavy		Andrew Thornton	13/82.62
21 Jan 16	Wnc	2/14	2.75	Chase	125	26.7f	Heavy		Andrew Thornton	7/24.5f

SAINT RAPH (FR) ⁽¹⁶⁾

James Best

11-12

N/A

gr g SAINT DES SAINTS (FR) - SPEED PADOLINE (FR) SAINT PREUIL (FR)

J: James Best
T: Robert Walford

Robert Walford

(t)

(123)

2 SAINT RAPH (FR) ⁽¹⁶⁾

J: James Best
T: Robert Walford
Age: 8 Wgt: 11-12 Eq: (t) OR: 123

N/A

Got back on track in the spring, landing back-to-back small-field handicaps, but has failed to complete both outings in recent weeks.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	89	10	11	31	35	-22.75
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	308	53	17	140	45	-31.93
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	301	53	18	138	46	-24.93
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	101	13	13	37	37	-25.82

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	284	23	8	64	23	232.81
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	841	73	9	271	32	-160.93
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	813	72	9	264	32	-143.93
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	140	8	6	31	22	-93.51

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
10 Dec 16	Lin	ur/13	97	Chase	123	23.5f	Good	(t)	Paul O'Brien (5)	20/121
11 Nov 16	Chl	pu/15	42.5	Chase	123	25f	Good	(t)	Mr Joshua Newman (3)	20/121
20 Apr 16	Tau	1/5	14	Chase	112	23f	Gd/Frm	(t)	Harry Cobden (5)	11/82.37f
4 Apr 16	Wnc	1/6	1.25	Chase	109	25.1f	Soft	(t)	Paul O'Brien (5)	7/24.5
11 Mar 16	Lei	4/5	25	Chase	117	20.2f	Heavy	(t)	Adam Wedge	11/26.5

ARDKILLY WITNESS (IRE) ⁽²⁴⁾

Micheal Nolan

11-12

N/A

b g WITNESS BOX (USA) - ARDKILLY ANGEL (IRE) YASHGAN

J: Micheal Nolan
T: Jamie Snowden

Jamie Snowden

(b)

(123)

3 ARDKILLY WITNESS (IRE) ⁽²⁴⁾

J: Micheal Nolan
T: Jamie Snowden
Age: 10 Wgt: 11-12 Eq: (b) OR: 123

N/A

More miss than hit over fences last season, but went with a lot more zest and stepped up on comeback run when third of 9 at Sandown 3 weeks ago (3m). Must now build on that.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	290	74	26	182	63	3.66
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	453	86	19	243	54	-61.43
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	369	64	17	183	50	-61.26
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	39	7	18	14	36	-11.45

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
2 Dec 16	San	3/9	6.5	Chase	124	24.2f	Soft	(b)	Mr H. Hunt (5)	12/113
13 Oct 16	Car	pu/7	45	Chase	126	24.5f	Gd/Sft	(t)	Brendan Powell	8/19
5 May 16	Wnc	4/9	43	Chase	130	25.1f	Gd/Frm	(t)	Micheal Nolan	11/112
3 Apr 16	Asc	ur/14	64.5	Chase	130	23.8f	Gd/Sft	(t)	Page Fuller (7)	12/113
11 Mar 16	San	2/8	1.50	Chase	W	24.2f	Heavy	(t)	Major Harry Wallace (7)	5/16

VELATOR ⁽¹⁷⁾

Niall Madden

11-12

N/A

b g OLD VIC - JUPITER'S MESSAGE JUPITER ISLAND

J: Niall Madden
T: Neil Mulholland

Neil Mulholland

(s+t)

(123)

4 VELATOR ⁽¹⁷⁾

J: Niall Madden
T: Neil Mulholland
Age: 9 Wgt: 11-12 Eq: (s+t) OR: 123

N/A

Very hard to win with and dropped away rather tamely at Doncaster 17 days ago (26f). Clearly isn't one for maximum faith. Tongue tie added to usual cheekpieces.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	413	50	12	147	36	-82.77
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	686	93	14	272	40	-147.86
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	664	90	14	259	39	-134.19
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	192	16	8	60	31	-76.70

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
9 Dec 16	Don	6/7	74	Chase	123	26f	Good	(s)	Leighton Aspell	6/17
21 Oct 16	Chl	3/17	7	Chase	123	25f	Good	(s)	Mr Sam Waley-Cohen	10/111
29 Sep 16	War	3/6	5	Chase	123	24f	Good	(s)	Noel Fehily	5/16
18 Aug 16	Str	3/4	8	Chase	125	27.5f	Good	(s)	Noel Fehily	11/26.5
17 Jul 16	NAb	pu/7	21.5	Chase	120	25.8f	Gd/Frm	(s)	Tom Scudamore	11/43.75f

EXPEDITE (IRE) ⁽³⁷⁾

Harry Cobden (3)

11-11

N/A

b g BRIAN BORU - ANGELICA GARNETT DESERT STORY (IRE)

J: Harry Cobden (3)
T: Ben Pauling

Ben Pauling

(s)

(122)

5 EXPEDITE (IRE) ⁽³⁷⁾

J: Harry Cobden (3)
T: Ben Pauling
Age: 5 Wgt: 11-11 Eq: (s) OR: 122

N/A

Looked more straightforward when justifying market support at second time of asking for new yard over hurdles at Exeter last month. Unseated rider at the first on chase bow 10 days later.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	404	83	21	194	48	-33.03
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	727	153	21	347	48	35.63
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	668	134	20	312	47	33.99
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	35	3	9	13	37	-21.17

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	409	88	22	193	47	-81.46
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	1149	236	21	592	52	-210.33
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	880	156	18	397	45	-157.54
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	199	61	31	133	67	-22.98

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
19 Nov 16	Asc	ur/9	55	Chase	122	23.8f	Gd/Sft	(s)	Tom Cannon	5/1
9 Nov 16	Exe	1/6	2.50	Hurdle	114	23.1f	Good	(s)	Tom Cannon	5/42.25f
20 Oct 16	NAb	3/12	10	Hurdle	115	21.6f	Good		David Bass	7/42.75f
19 Feb 16	Fak	pu/5	42.5	Hurdle	N	20f	Soft		Tommy Dowling (7)	20/121
23 Jan 16	Asc	pu/10	39	Hurdle	N	21.6f	Soft		Tommy Dowling (7)	16/117

BEER GOGGLES (IRE) ^(14H)

Matt Griffiths

11-4

N/A

br g OSCAR (IRE) - TYNELUCY (IRE) GOOD THYNE (USA)

J: Matt Griffiths
T: Richard Woollacott

Richard Woollacott

(115)

6 BEER GOGGLES (IRE) ^(14H)

J: Matt Griffiths
T: Richard Woollacott
Age: 5 Wgt: 11-4 OR: 115

N/A

Landed back-to-back heavy-ground handicap hurdles for Micky Hammond earlier this year. Promising start to chase career for new yard at Ffos Las recently (21f) and step back up in trip can only help.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
12 Dec 16	Ffl	3/10	18.5	Chase	115	20.9f	Heavy		Micheal Nolan	20/121
17 Mar 16	Hex	1/7	8	Hurdle	104	23.3f	Heavy		Joe Colliver (3)	9/43.25jf
6 Mar 16	Sed	1/6	1.50	Hurdle	97	27f	Heavy		Joe Colliver (3)	4/15
16 Feb 16	Ayr	7/16	36.5	Hurdle	100	20.5f	Soft		Finian O'Toole (8)	8/19
4 Jan 16	Mus	13/14	41.5	Hurdle	104	23.8f	Gd/Sft		Craig Nichol	7/18

PADDY'S FIELD (IRE) ⁽¹⁸⁾

Tom Cheesman (5)

11-3

N/A

b or br g FLEMENSFIRTH (USA) - KITTYS OSCAR (IRE) OSCAR (IRE)

J: Tom Cheesman (5)
T: Ben Pauling

Ben Pauling

(114)

7 PADDY'S FIELD (IRE) ⁽¹⁸⁾

J: Tom Cheesman (5)
T: Ben Pauling
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-3 OR: 114

N/A

Failed to kick on over hurdles after winning at Market Rasen but appeals the type to make a better chaser and better than result both starts over fences. Stamina is a concern, though.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	404	83	21	194	48	-33.03
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	727	153	21	347	48	35.63
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	668	134	20	312	47	33.99
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	35	3	9	13	37	-21.17

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
8 Dec 16	War	7/10	28	Chase	117	24f	Soft	(s)	David Bass	3/14jf
8 Nov 16	Sed	5/10	19	Chase	119	19.3f	Gd/Sft		Tom Cannon	10/34.33f
16 Apr 16	Ban	4/7	41.5	Hurdle	120	23.2f	Heavy		David Bass	9/43.25f
12 Mar 16	San	8/18	21.5	Hurdle	121	19.8f	Soft		David Bass	14/115
26 Feb 16	War	3/15	11	Hurdle	N	19f	Soft		Nico de Boinville	7/42.75f

SONNY THE ONE ⁽¹⁶⁾

Brendan Powell

11-3

N/A

ch g TOBOUGG (IRE) - ANNIE FLEETWOOD ANSHAN

J: Brendan Powell
T: Robert Walford

Robert Walford

(s)

(114)

8 SONNY THE ONE ⁽¹⁶⁾

J: Brendan Powell
T: Robert Walford
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-3 Eq: (s) OR: 114

N/A

Held form well for Colin Tizzard following a win at Taunton in February. Probably needed the run on return in November and in process of running creditably prior to unseating rider latest.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	89	10	11	31	35	-22.75
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	308	53	17	140	45	-31.93
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	301	53	18	138	46	-24.93
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	101	13	13	37	37	-25.82

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	396	55	14	177	45	5.21
Chases (Last 5 Seasons)	987	142	14	442	45	-190.45
Chases Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	912	127	14	402	44	-181.53
WINCANTON (Last 5 Seasons)	221	28	13	99	45	-60.27

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
10 Dec 16	Lin	ur/9	81	Chase	114	20f	Good	(s)	Brendan Powell	9/43.25f
16 Nov 16	Chp	6/17	32	Chase	117	23.6f	Gd/Sft	(s)	Brendan Powell	14/115
17 Apr 16	Wnc	4/10	13	Chase	118	20.2f	Gd/Sft	(s)	Brendan Powell	3/14
8 Mar 16	Exe	2/8	8	Chase	118	24.3f	Heavy		Brendan Powell	3/14f
23 Feb 16	Tau	2/6	1.75	Chase	116	16.1f	Soft	(s)	Tom Scudamore	11/102.1f

BEARS RAILS ⁽¹⁸⁾

Tom O'Brien

11-1

N/A

b g FLEMENSFIRTH (USA) - CLANDESTINE SADDLERS' HALL (IRE)

J: Tom O'Brien
T: Colin Tizzard

Colin Tizzard

(b) ¹

(112)

9 BEARS RAILS ⁽¹⁸⁾

J: Tom O'Brien
T: Colin Tizzard
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-1 Eq: (b) ¹ OR: 112

N/A

Took well to chasing last season, winning twice. Not at same level first couple of starts back in recent weeks but feeling remains that he has a bigger performance in him.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
8 Dec 16	War	4/10	12	Chase	113	24f	Soft		Aidan Coleman	5/16
2 Nov 16	Chp	4/4	16.5	Chase	114	23.6f	Gd/Frm		Tom Scudamore	1/12f
28 Mar 16	Chp	4/6	14.5	Chase	114	23.6f	Heavy		Brendan Powell	5/42.25f
8 Mar 16	Exe	1/7	1.25	Chase	108	19.2f	Heavy		Tom Scudamore	9/43.25f
27 Feb 16	Chp	2/12	10	Chase	108	23.6f	Soft		Brendan Powell	5/16

HOLLOW BLUE SKY (FR) ⁽¹⁴⁾

Hugh Nugent (7)

10-7

N/A

gr g TURGEON (USA) - RUN FOR LABORIE (FR) LESOTHO (USA)

J: Hugh Nugent (7)
T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Nigel Twiston-Davies

(v) ¹

(104)

10 HOLLOW BLUE SKY (FR) ⁽¹⁴⁾

J: Hugh Nugent (7)
T: Nigel Twiston-Davies
Age: 9 Wgt: 10-7 Eq: (v) ¹ OR: 104

N/A

Well weighted nowadays, but hardly shaping as though ready to take full advantage. Visor replaces usual cheekpieces.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
12 Dec 16	Ffl	6/11	9	Chase	107	25.3f	Heavy	(s+t)	Jamie Bargary (3)	7/18
6 Nov 16	Ffl	4/5	12	Chase	110	23.8f	Good	(s+t)	Jamie Bargary (3)	7/24.5
13 Apr 16	Chl	13/16	53	Chase	114	28.1f	Good	(s+t)	Jamie Bargary (5)	20/121
26 Mar 16	Hay	8/13	45	Chase	115	24.1f	Good	(s+t)	Jamie Bargary (5)	9/110
25 Feb 16	Hun	3/7	19	Chase	115	19.9f	Soft	(s+t)	Jamie Bargary (5)	11/43.75

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Analyst Verdict

Analyst Comments

Smart Stats

Past Winners

Analyst's Verdict

Not an easy puzzle to solve, but DAWSON CITY surely has a staying handicap chase in him, and fit from last month's reappearance, he should be spot on for this. Expedite failed to negotiate the first on recent chase debut, but this will reveal a lot more, while Beer Goggles is a likely improver.

Betting Forecast : 5/16 Expedite, 6/17 Bears Rails, 15/28.5 Sonny The One, 17/29.5 Ardkilly Witness, 9/110 Dawson City, 9/110 Beer Goggles, 9/110 Paddy's Field, 11/112 Hollow Blue Sky, 16/117 Velator, 22/123 Saint Raph

Smart Stats
21% Ben Pauling's strike rate in early season since the start of the 2011/12 season (saddles PADDY'S FIELD and EXPEDITE)	N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

2015	SHOCKINGTIMES (IRE)	8	11-6	6/17	T: Jamie Snowden	J: Tom O'Brien	7 ran
2014	LOCH BA (IRE)	8	11-8	7/18	T: Mick Channon	J: Wayne Hutchinson	9 ran
2013	COUNT GUIDO DEIRO (IRE)	6	11-9	16/117	T: Nigel Twiston-Davies	J: Gavin Sheehan (3)	9 ran
2012	MONKERTY TUNKERTY	9	11-11	9/43.25jf	T: Jess Westwood	J: William Kennedy	5 ran
2011	HONOURABLE ARTHUR (IRE)	8	11-9	6/17	T: Victor Dartnall	J: Andrew Glassonbury	9 ran

147

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15:25 Wincanton Racecard on Monday 26 December 2016

The 3M 1F 30Y 15:25 BATHWICK TYRES LORD STALBRIDGE MEMORIAL CUP HANDICAP CHASE (Qualifier) (3) at Wincanton will be run on Monday 26 December 2016. The going is currently Soft (Good to Soft in places). This race will be shown on RTV. It is open to 4yo+ and has a prize fund of £7,912. There are 10 runners.

The market favourite for this race is HOLLOW BLUE SKY (FR), he is ridden by Hugh Nugent and trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies. Timeform's verdict for this race is DAWSON CITY, he is ridden by Tom O'Brien and trained by Polly Gundry.

In Play Symbols

1	led/disputed lead
2	prominent/close up
3	mid-division
4	towards rear
5	behind

s (S)	slowly away (very slowly away)
k (K)	travelled comfortably (notably strongly)
o (O)	outpaced (badly outpaced)
r (R)	responded to pressure (very well)
i (I)	idled (markedly)
f (F)	found less than seemed likely (found nothing)
p (P)	pulled hard (very hard)
l (L)	raced lazily (very lazily)
§ (§§)	signs of temperament (marked reluctance)
j (J)	jumped well (very well)
x (X)	made mistakes (numerous mistakes)

WINCANTON 15:25

15:25 Mon 26 December 2016

BATHWICK TYRES LORD STALBRIDGE MEMORIAL CUP HANDICAP CHASE (Qualifier) (3)

21%

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15:25 Wincanton Racecard on Monday 26 December 2016