19:45 Southwell Betting Odds Comparison

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1 (8) KIRKDALE (IRE) 046224-41 J: Callum Rodriguez T: Edward Bethell - 9/4, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) 7 days ago, running on. Visor back on. Likely to remain very competitive after a 5 lb rise.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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2 (9) THANKUAPPRECIATE 6304-4134 J: Zak Wheatley (3) T: Declan Carroll - C&D winner in February. Creditable efforts over 7f both starts since, latterly here. Should be at least as effective back at 6f. One the shortlist.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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3 (4) FARANDAWAY (IRE) 037-44321 J: Oliver Stammers T: Grant Tuer - Consistent in handicaps this year but stepped up even on those efforts when finally off the mark in 6f Newcastle maiden 23 days ago. The handicapper might have taken a chance leaving his mark unchanged.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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4 (5) EARLY RELEASE 4219-0816 J: Pat Cosgrave T: David Evans - C&D winner. Latest win at Kempton (6f) in March. Last of 6 over 5f here since but may fare better back at 6f.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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5 (6) JESSE LUC 9236-4535 J: Rossa Ryan T: Mike Murphy - Three-time C&D winner. Respectable fifth of 11 over C&D 32 days ago, although didn't look the heartiest under pressure. Back on a winning mark.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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6 (3) FAN MAIL 0516-4775 J: David Allan T: Tim Easterby - C&D winner last autumn but no more than respectable efforts since. First-time blinkers need to give him a lift.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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7 (2) NORTHCLIFF (IRE) 439000-00 J: Luke Catton (3) T: Thomas Faulkner - Three turf wins last spring but has struggled on all-weather this winter.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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8 (1) WISH THIS 4/0384951- J: S. B. Kirrane T: Alan Brown - Blinkered first time, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) in November by ½ length from Kirkdale. First-time cheekpieces replace the blinkers now. Much depends on whether he's fully primed after 6 months off.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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9 (7) SHERLOCK (IRE) 423-85419 J: Kevin Stott T: Kevin Ryan - Breakthrough Newcastle win over 5f at Newcastle in February was his 20th career start but first over a sprint trip. Sent off at 2/1 to follow up over 6f there but met all sorts of trouble and can have that run ignored. Player.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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FARANDAWAY got away without having his mark raised for his Newcastle maiden success and is selected to take advantage, perhaps at the chief expense of Sherlock who didn't get the chance to show what he could do from his revised mark last time. Last Saturday's Wolverhampton scorer Kirkdale and Declan Carroll's Thankuappreciate are others likely to have a say.

Betting Forecast

7/24.5 Farandaway, 4/15 Kirkdale, 9/25.5 Sherlock, 9/110 Thankuappreciate, 9/110 Jesse Luc, 12/113 Wish This, 16/117 Early Release, 18/119 Fan Mail, 18/119 Northcliff

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13:45 Aintree (R1) 2m4f C1 Hcap 22 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

A case can be made for plenty, but this sets up perfectly for last year's third FAVOUR AND FORTUNE, who is entitled to come on a good deal for his return at Kempton. He's narrowly preferred to Joyeuse, following her eye-catching third in the County. French recruit Emid'io Pepe is afforded plenty of respect on first start for Dan Skelton, with Jazzy Matty also considered after his near-miss in the Grand Annual.

FAVOUR AND FORTUNE (IRE) Tom Bellamy

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Confirmed himself a very useful top-end handicapper when third in this race last year, and he shaped as if retaining plenty of ability on reappearance at Kempton in February. Makes plenty of appeal with the likely strong pace tailor-made for his smooth-travelling style. Position Prediction: 1

JOYEUSE (FR) Nico de Boinville

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Impressive winner of William Hill Hurdle at Newbury last year and confirmed herself right back on song (in retained cheekpieces) when third in County at Cheltenham last time. Better than the result on that occasion, too, and she looks interesting returning to 2½m. Position Prediction: 2

EMID'IO PEPE (FR) Harry Skelton

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Useful hurdler in France who rallied to land a 14-runner handicap at Pau (17f) on final start for J-P. Daireaux in December. Well worth another go over 2½m on that evidence and could be favourably treated on debut for yard with tremendous record in top-end handicaps. Position Prediction: 3

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N/A

£26.83

Ewan Whillans's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) (saddles STAR OF GUITING)

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£68.61

Jack Jones's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) (saddles MR MCLOUGHLAN)

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27%

Paul Nicholls's strike rate with hurdlers at up to 2m2f (saddles POURQUOI PAS PAPA and AFADIL)

Southwell 19:45 Odds Comparison

Aintree

Sedgefield

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Wolverhampton

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Wexford (IRE)

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

£26.83

£68.61

27%