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Aintree 16:40 Odds Comparison

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16:40 Fri 10 April 2026
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ODDSCHECKER SEFTON NOVICES' HURDLE (Grade 1) (1)
Distance 3m 149y
Prize £56,270 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 13
Going Good to Soft

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1
Richie McLernon silk
CATCHINTSAVO (IRE) 22-302131
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Placed in all 3 bumpers and has translated that ability to hurdles, winning Ludlow maiden and Plumpton novice but was put firmly in his place by the reopposing Mondoui'boy at Ascot in between those victories and will surely come up short at this level.

- - - - - - 55

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2
Harry Skelton silk
DALSTON LAD (IRE) 110-72111
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Dual bumper winner who has improved in leaps and bounds over hurdles since the cheekpieces went on, completing a hat-trick under a typically positive ride in the Grade 2 Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock in February. This demands more again, but he's earned his place.

- - - - - - 10.5

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3
Daniel King silk
FRANKIE JOHN (IRE) 3-1223155
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Fairly useful bumper/hurdle winner who typically gave his running when fifth in Grade 1 at Leopardstown (22.2f) in early February, though seemed to find the test too much, so is easy enough to oppose over this still longer trip in another hot race. Cheekpieces go on.

- - - - - - 50

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4
Sean Bowen silk
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Unbeaten in 2 bumpers last winter and going the right way over hurdles, supplementing his Taunton success in 4-runner novice at Ffos Las (2½m) in February. Has appreciably more on his plate now but he's in good hands and could progress further over this longer trip.

- - - - - - 38

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5
Jonathan Burke silk
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Shaped well on sole hurdles run for Nicky Henderson last season and has improved significantly with each run for new yard, looking well served by the markedly longer trip when completing the hat-trick in the Spa at the Cheltenham Festival last month. Unexposed as a stayer and has obvious claims.

- - - - - - 5.3

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6
Brendan Powell silk
KRIPTICJIM (FR) 421-21116
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Useful bumper winner who has quickly reached a similar level over hurdles, overcoming the rise in class in a first-time tongue tie when edging a Grade 2 at Cheltenham on Trials Day. Seemed beaten by stouter stayers in the Spa at the Festival, so this slightly easier track is likely to suit.

- - - - - - 17

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7
Ben Jones silk
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Promise in a couple of bumpers for Harry Derham last season. Changed hands for £115,000 in October and confirmed positives of Ludlow hurdles debut success when following up in clear-cut style at Ascot (19.3f). Acquitted himself well up in grade in the Spa at Cheltenham and has solid each-way claims.

- - - - - - 7.8

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8
Sam Twiston-Davies silk
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Created an excellent impression in winning his first 3 starts over hurdles, including the Grade 1 Challow at Newbury in December. Had very little go right when pulled up in Baring Bingham at the Cheltenham Festival and retains obvious potential now stepping up in trip.

- - - - - - 4.4

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9
Jonjo O'Neill Jr. silk
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Irish point winner went close on Rules debut at Ludlow before making heavy weather of landing the odds at Hereford (3m1f). Caught out by the drop back in trip under a penalty at Uttoxeter on most recent outing but needs a lot more now stepping up appreciably in grade.

- - - - - - 70

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10
G. B. Noonan silk
SHADOW PADDY (IRE) 60-110411
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Progressive sort who registered a fourth win of the season and first out of handicap company in 6-runner listed event at Limerick (21f, soft) in October. Likely to stay this longer trip but faces a much stiffer task returning from a break.

- - - - - - 23

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11
Harry Cobden silk
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Point winner who created an excellent impression when making a successful return/hurdling debut in 8-runner novice at Taunton (19f, soft) in February. Followed up under a penalty with more in hand than the bare margin might imply at Newbury and earned a crack at this level. First try at 3m.

- - - - - - 13.5

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12
J. J. Slevin silk
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Most progressive over hurdles, winning maiden at Thurles and novice at Navan before an excellent third in Baring Bingham (21f) at the Cheltenham Festival, faring best of those held up. Leading player on that form, especially with this step up in trip likely to suit.

- - - - - - 7.2

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13
Donagh Meyler silk
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Fairly useful bumper winner who progressed again to resume winning way in 5-runner Grade 3 at Cork (24.4f, soft) in December, easing clear having raced alone along inside throughout. Ran no sort of race dropped in trip in the Jane Seymour at Warwick 8 weeks later, though, and looks up against it.

- - - - - - 32

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UPCOMING RACE

13:45 Aintree (R1) 2m4f C1 Hcap 22 runners
Analyst Verdict 1-2-3
A case can be made for plenty, but this sets up perfectly for last year's third FAVOUR AND FORTUNE, who is entitled to come on a good deal for his return at Kempton. He's narrowly preferred to Joyeuse, following her eye-catching third in the County. French recruit Emid'io Pepe is afforded plenty of respect on first start for Dan Skelton, with Jazzy Matty also considered after his near-miss in the Grand Annual.
Trainer : Alan King Age/weight: 8 / 12-0 Form : 261/6403-6 Days off: 48
1
Tom Bellamy silk
FAVOUR AND FORTUNE (IRE) Tom Bellamy
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Confirmed himself a very useful top-end handicapper when third in this race last year, and he shaped as if retaining plenty of ability on reappearance at Kempton in February. Makes plenty of appeal with the likely strong pace tailor-made for his smooth-travelling style. Position Prediction: 1
Trainer : Nicky Henderson Age/weight: 7 / 11-11 Form : 169-22943 Days off: 28 Wearing : cheekpieces
5
Nico de Boinville silk
JOYEUSE (FR) Nico de Boinville
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Impressive winner of William Hill Hurdle at Newbury last year and confirmed herself right back on song (in retained cheekpieces) when third in County at Cheltenham last time. Better than the result on that occasion, too, and she looks interesting returning to 2½m. Position Prediction: 2
Trainer : Dan Skelton Age/weight: 5 / 11-4 Form : 61124-71 Days off: 115
17
Harry Skelton silk
EMID'IO PEPE (FR) Harry Skelton
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Useful hurdler in France who rallied to land a 14-runner handicap at Pau (17f) on final start for J-P. Daireaux in December. Well worth another go over 2½m on that evidence and could be favourably treated on debut for yard with tremendous record in top-end handicaps. Position Prediction: 3
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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

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23%

Paul Nicholls's strike rate in spring (saddles NO DRAMA THIS END and TALK TO THE MAN)
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42%

Jonathan Burke's strike rate on hurdling favourites (rides JOHNNY'S JURY)
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22%

Olly Murphy's strike rate in spring (saddles HARBOUR ISLAND)