19:50 Dundalk Betting Odds Comparison

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1 (8) GREY FABLE (IRE) 12/766756- J: R. C. Colgan T: Karl Thornton, Ireland - Just respectable efforts at best last season but does at least start the new campaign off a workable mark.	-	-	-	-	-	-	7.8
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2 (10) SLOWDOWNBARNEY (IRE) 120890-56 J: Siobhan Rutledge (3) T: John McConnell, Ireland - Came in for support last 2 starts but once again looking ungainly under pressure when sixth of 10 over 2m here 2 weeks ago.	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.1
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3 (1) FINE PRINT (IRE) 36861120- J: D. W. O'Connor T: John McConnell, Ireland - Back-to-back winner at Wolverhampton around this time last year. Off since down the field all 4 starts over hurdles last summer.	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
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4 (5) MEPHISTO (IRE) 436682/45- J: J. Kearney (3) T: Gerard Keane, Ireland - Off since pulled up over hurdles in September but had completed a hat-trick of wins in that sphere last summer and potentially on a good mark on that form back on the Flat.	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
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5 (3) AL WHAT (IRE) 90586-60 J: Ben Martin Coen T: Noel Meade, Ireland - Never looked like justifying support here on reappearance before well held on heavy ground at Navan. Headgear on, up in trip and returned to AW.	-	-	-	-	-	-	5.7
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6 (9) DOCTOR GRACE (IRE) 27-928049 J: S. Coen (5) T: Adrian McGuinness, Ireland - Keeping busy but well held 3 of last 4 starts.	-	-	-	-	-	-	9
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7 (4) JAWHARY 5621-1664 J: Adam Caffrey T: Adrian McGuinness, Ireland - Pair of C&D wins this winter. Good fourth back down in trip here 3 weeks ago and makes more appeal than most.	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.6
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8 (12) SARMIENTO POWER (IRE) 001255-58 J: R. Whearty T: Matthew J. Smith, Ireland - C&D winner in September and might have found latest run coming too soon after a decent fifth here the time before.	-	-	-	-	-	-	7.6
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9 (2) CELTIC DRUID (IRE) 1808557-1 J: Sadhbh Tormey (7) T: T. G. McCourt, Ireland - Proved at least as good as ever when winning over C&D on return from 4 months off 5 weeks ago, proving well suited by the return to this trip. Hasn't had many goes on this surface or at this distance so remains of firm interest at this low level.	-	-	-	-	-	-	5.3
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10 (7) EXPERT ANALYSIS (IRE) 07698/005- J: Shane Foley T: Dermot Kilmartin, Ireland - Out of sorts under both codes for this yard.	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
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11 (6) PALAZZO PERSICO (IRE) 697-07030 J: J. M. Sheridan T: Denis Hogan, Ireland - Patchy record for current connections here, always behind back down in trip latest.	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
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12 (11) DESERT FRIEND (IRE) 0656-6901 J: C. D. Hayes T: P. J. F. Murphy, Ireland - Took advantage of a much-reduced mark to snap a losing streak of almost 2 years here (2m) 2 weeks ago, responding well to a tongue strap. Raced inefficiently that day (pulled his way to the front) so remains of interest back down in trip.	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.05
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CELTIC DRUID looked well suited by this C&D when a ready winner under this rider 5 weeks ago so is taken to follow up. Desert Friend responded well to a tongue strap when taking advantage of his reduced mark over 2m here and a return this trip should suit if anything. Jawhary and Mephisto are best of the others.

Betting Forecast

7/24.5 Celtic Druid, 9/25.5 Desert Friend, 7/18 Jawhary, 15/28.5 Slowdownbarney, 16/117 Grey Fable, 16/117 Al What, 16/117 Doctor Grace, 18/119 Mephisto, 18/119 Sarmiento Power, 20/121 Fine Print, 22/123 Palazzo Persico, 40/141 Expert Analysis

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13:45 Aintree (R1) 2m4f C1 Hcap 22 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

A case can be made for plenty, but this sets up perfectly for last year's third FAVOUR AND FORTUNE, who is entitled to come on a good deal for his return at Kempton. He's narrowly preferred to Joyeuse, following her eye-catching third in the County. French recruit Emid'io Pepe is afforded plenty of respect on first start for Dan Skelton, with Jazzy Matty also considered after his near-miss in the Grand Annual.

FAVOUR AND FORTUNE (IRE) Tom Bellamy

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Confirmed himself a very useful top-end handicapper when third in this race last year, and he shaped as if retaining plenty of ability on reappearance at Kempton in February. Makes plenty of appeal with the likely strong pace tailor-made for his smooth-travelling style. Position Prediction: 1

JOYEUSE (FR) Nico de Boinville

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Impressive winner of William Hill Hurdle at Newbury last year and confirmed herself right back on song (in retained cheekpieces) when third in County at Cheltenham last time. Better than the result on that occasion, too, and she looks interesting returning to 2½m. Position Prediction: 2

EMID'IO PEPE (FR) Harry Skelton

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Useful hurdler in France who rallied to land a 14-runner handicap at Pau (17f) on final start for J-P. Daireaux in December. Well worth another go over 2½m on that evidence and could be favourably treated on debut for yard with tremendous record in top-end handicaps. Position Prediction: 3

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23%

Paul Nicholls's strike rate in spring (saddles NO DRAMA THIS END and TALK TO THE MAN)

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42%

Jonathan Burke's strike rate on hurdling favourites (rides JOHNNY'S JURY)

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22%

Olly Murphy's strike rate in spring (saddles HARBOUR ISLAND)

Dundalk 19:50 Odds Comparison

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

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