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Aintree 15:30 Odds Comparison

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15:30 Fri 10 April 2026
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JCB MELLING CHASE (Grade 1) (1)
Distance 2m 3f 200y
Prize £140,325 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 7
Going Good to Soft

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1
Bryan Carver silk
GIDLEIGH PARK 116/P12-2P
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Stepped up on hurdles form when winning Grade 2 Windsor novice before excellent second in strong renewal of the Manifesto over C&D at this meeting. Returned with a solid second in Ascot Grade 2 but badly let down by jumping in Clarence House there in January. Worth another chance.

- - - - - - 5.8

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2
Harry Skelton silk
GREY DAWNING (IRE) 3/2P12-134
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Beaten only by Gaelic Warrior in the Bowl at this meeting last year and resumed with comfortable success in Betfair Chase at Haydock. Test of the Gold Cup didn't play to his strengths but still ran with credit to finish fourth. Drop back in trip in first-time headgear looks a very interesting move.

- - - - - - 4.8

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3
D. J. O'Keeffe silk
HEART WOOD (FR) 242P-1411
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Enjoying a fine season, winning 3 of his 4 starts, including a career best in the Ryanair at the Cheltenham Festival. The one to beat on that performance (ran well here as a novice).

- - - - - - 2.46

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4
Brendan Powell silk
JPR ONE (IRE) 405-33214
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Winner of Haldon Gold Cup in 2024 and has worked his way back to that level this season, back on the scoresheet with a ready success in the Scottish Champion Chase (handicap) at Musselburgh. Ran well for a long way when fourth in Ryanair but was firmly put in his place by Heart Wood that day.

- - - - - - 24

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5
Tristan Durrell silk
L'EAU DU SUD (FR) 11143-133
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Impressive winner of the Grade 2 Shloer at Cheltenham on reappearance but came up short back at this level next 2 starts, though was far from disgraced when third in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last month. Having a rare start beyond 2m and Harry Skelton prefers Grey Dawning.

- - - - - - 13

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6
Ciaran Gethings silk
SAINT SEGAL (FR) 31-12122P
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Having an excellent season, winning twice and runner-up 3 times, including in the Game Spirit at Newbury. Pulled up early on final circuit in Queen Mother Champion Chase last time having made bad mistake at first. Bit to find even if bouncing back.

- - - - - - 50

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7
J. J. Slevin silk
SOLNESS (FR) 24114-315
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High-class chaser who landed a third Leopardstown Grade 1 success of his career when edging out Marine Nationale over Christmas. Rare poor effort there next time, however, and best efforts have been when able to dominate over shorter distances.

- - - - - - 9.8

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UPCOMING RACE

13:45 Aintree (R1) 2m4f C1 Hcap 22 runners
Analyst Verdict 1-2-3
A case can be made for plenty, but this sets up perfectly for last year's third FAVOUR AND FORTUNE, who is entitled to come on a good deal for his return at Kempton. He's narrowly preferred to Joyeuse, following her eye-catching third in the County. French recruit Emid'io Pepe is afforded plenty of respect on first start for Dan Skelton, with Jazzy Matty also considered after his near-miss in the Grand Annual.
Trainer : Alan King Age/weight: 8 / 12-0 Form : 261/6403-6 Days off: 48
1
Tom Bellamy silk
FAVOUR AND FORTUNE (IRE) Tom Bellamy
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Confirmed himself a very useful top-end handicapper when third in this race last year, and he shaped as if retaining plenty of ability on reappearance at Kempton in February. Makes plenty of appeal with the likely strong pace tailor-made for his smooth-travelling style. Position Prediction: 1
Trainer : Nicky Henderson Age/weight: 7 / 11-11 Form : 169-22943 Days off: 28 Wearing : cheekpieces
5
Nico de Boinville silk
JOYEUSE (FR) Nico de Boinville
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Impressive winner of William Hill Hurdle at Newbury last year and confirmed herself right back on song (in retained cheekpieces) when third in County at Cheltenham last time. Better than the result on that occasion, too, and she looks interesting returning to 2½m. Position Prediction: 2
Trainer : Dan Skelton Age/weight: 5 / 11-4 Form : 61124-71 Days off: 115
17
Harry Skelton silk
EMID'IO PEPE (FR) Harry Skelton
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Useful hurdler in France who rallied to land a 14-runner handicap at Pau (17f) on final start for J-P. Daireaux in December. Well worth another go over 2½m on that evidence and could be favourably treated on debut for yard with tremendous record in top-end handicaps. Position Prediction: 3
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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

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2

Joseph Patrick O'Brien's number of winners in past 10 runnings. (saddles SOLNESS)
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35%

Harry Skelton's strike rate on chase favourites (rides GREY DAWNING)
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21%

Joe Tizzard's strike rate with chasers at up to 2m3f (saddles JPR ONE)