Southwell 18:18 Odds Comparison

160,000 gns son of New Bay was too free to make an impact in novices/maiden last year, though could do better now handicapping following a gelding operation.

Masar filly. Sister to winner up to 1¼m Will Scarlet, closely related to very smart winner up to 1½m Loxley. Runner-up to useful sort on debut and wasn't fully extended to go one better at Lingfield last time. Handicapper hasn't taken any chances with her opening mark but she's unexposed.

Olden Times filly. Half-sister to smart 8.6f-11f winner Nahraan. Dam, 1m winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 7f Sajir. Not given at all a hard time when fourth over C&D on qualifying run and with tongue strap on first time, she's expected to improve now handicapping.

Free-going Ghaiyyath gelding showed improved form when going close on handicap debut at Chelmsford latest. Needs considering, for all he'd prefer more pace in the race.

Fair winner of 7f Lingfield maiden in hood (refitted here) but failed to progress for the switch to nurseries when fourth of 5 at Kempton in October. Not out of the question he improves for a gelding operation, though.

Fair winner/second in all-weather nurseries before finishing well held in valuable sales races at Newmarket in October. This is more realistic, but he may prove vulnerable to improvers.

Has made hay from a low base since the turn of the year, winning 3 times and shaping as if still in good form when close third in this grade at Kempton last time. Apprentice good value for his claim, too.

Again below the form of his Lingfield win when sixth of 9 in handicap at Kempton, looking a hard ride to boot.

Won in good style at this track before proving too free in first-time hood when sixth of 7 in nursery at Newcastle (7f) in November. Step up to 1m raises a question mark on that evidence but should at least get some cover from inside draw.