16:02 Carlisle Betting Odds Comparison

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Hamilton Park

| Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) | Briefing

Newmarket (July)

| Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) | Briefing

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2 (5) ALBAYDAA (IRE) 321-321 J: Tom Marquand T: William Haggas ISP: 2/1	Industry Starting Price: 2/1	2.94
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1st 1 (3) ELLUSIVE BUTTERFLY (IRE) 43-124471 J: Clifford Lee T: K. R. Burke ISP: 5/2	Industry Starting Price: 5/2	4.5
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3 (8) APPLESANDPEARS 211-83 J: Daniel Tudhope T: Edward Bethell ISP: 9/2	Industry Starting Price: 9/2	9.6
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8 (1) GOLDEN PALACE 11765-73 J: Barry McHugh T: Richard & Peter Fahey ISP: 11/2	Industry Starting Price: 11/2	6.6
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2nd 9 (4) JUST A GIRL 2107-3422 J: Connor Beasley T: Charlie Johnston ISP: 11/1	Industry Starting Price: 11/1	16.5
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7 (10) FIGJAM (IRE) 2412-746 J: Jason Hart T: Katie Scott ISP: 18/1	Industry Starting Price: 18/1	25
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5 (7) CLASSIC CUVEE 2189-6 J: Ray Dawson T: Roger Varian ISP: 22/1	Industry Starting Price: 22/1	30
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3rd 10 (6) STIMULATIVE TRIP (FR) 1-96 J: Paul Mulrennan T: David Menuisier ISP: 28/1	Industry Starting Price: 28/1	30
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4 (9) ASSARANCA (IRE) 2716-6315 J: P. J. McDonald T: Richard Hannon ISP: 33/1	Industry Starting Price: 33/1	50
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6 (2) CONFIDE IN ME 12 J: Callum Rodriguez T: Jack Jones ISP: 66/1	Industry Starting Price: 66/1	80
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GOLDEN PALACE has largely been highly tried following a pair novice victories last summer but produced her best effort yet when posting a good third in listed company at Musselburgh (7f) 18 days ago A return to this stiffer track could see her to better effect here and she shades preference over Surrey Stakes winner Elusive Butterfly who concedes weight all round. C&D winner Albaydaa and Stimulative Trip look best of the others.

Betting Forecast

7/24.5 Ellusive Butterfly, 4/15 Golden Palace, 7/18 Figjam, 8/19 Albaydaa, 9/110 Stimulative Trip, 11/112 Applesandpears, 12/113 Just A Girl, 14/115 Classic Cuvee, 22/123 Assaranca, 22/123 Confide In Me

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10:30 Nottingham (R1) 1m2f50y C3 Stks 3 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

The market principals both disappointed last time, but a significant step up in trip may see an improved performance from FOOD FOR THOUGHT, who is narrowly preferred to Velvet Vega in what looks a match race on paper.

1 (3)

FOOD FOR THOUGHT Pat Dobbs

6/42.5

Dubawi filly who left behind her debut when second at Yarmouth (1m) last October (winner placed at listed level since). Forced pace/took strong hold when disappointing on Chepstow (7f) return but this Irish Oaks entrant may have a bigger performance in her if settling over a much longer trip. Position Prediction: 1

3 (1)

VELVET VEGA (IRE) Benoit de la Sayette

4/61.67

€240,000 Lope De Vega filly who bumped into smart Earth Shot at Newmarket first time up prior to disappointing when third in a Kempton maiden. However, she perhaps paid the price for trying to match strides with a blue-blooded winner that day and her debut form sets the standard in a weak race. Position Prediction: 2

2 (2)

HATTA ROMANCE (IRE) Tyler Heard

12/113

Frankel filly who doesn't have the looks to match her pedigree, but she showed ability when (200/1) fifth of 11 in a 9f Newbury novice on debut. Likely to be third best behind a couple from powerful stables here, though. Position Prediction: 3

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4/51.8

2

William Haggas's number of winners in past 7 runnings. (saddles KAHIN)

11/43.75

21%

Kevin Ryan's strike rate at HAMILTON PARK since the start of the 2022 season (saddles VALENDAY)

4/51.8

22%

William Haggas's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f (saddles KAHIN)

Carlisle 16:02 Odds Comparison

Hamilton Park

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

2

21%

22%