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LUDLOW 16:02

Name: WELSH GUARDS ASSOCIATION HANDICAP HURDLE (4)
Start: 2026-05-10T14:17:00
End: 2026-05-10T17:10:00
Location: Ludlow

14:17 14:52 15:27 16:02 16:37 17:10

< 16:02 >

16:02 Sun 10 May 2026	Unlock this Race
WELSH GUARDS ASSOCIATION HANDICAP HURDLE (4)	Distance : 1m 7f 169y
Prize : £4,489 Rated : (0-110) Age : 4yo+ Race State : Declaration Runners : 7	Going : Good (Good to Firm in places)
Race State : Declaration Runners : 7 runners

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49P/

HOOPER ⁽⁴⁹⁸⁾

Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell (7)

12-0

b g RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE) - EARTH AMBER HURRICANE RUN (IRE)

J: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell (7)
T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

NT previously Nicky Henderson

Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

NT previously Nicky Henderson

(110)

49P/

1 HOOPER ⁽⁴⁹⁸⁾

J: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell (7)
T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

NT previously Nicky Henderson

Age: 10 Wgt: 12-0 OR: 110

Quirky sort who ended his time with Nicky Henderson out of sorts. Sold for only £3,500 and can only be watched returning from 16 months off with his usual headgear discarded.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	0	0	2	100	-2.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	244	43	18	109	45	-92.64
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	121	17	14	42	35	-48.91
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	35	7	20	15	43	-0.12

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
28 Dec 24	Nwb	pu/11	68	Hurdle	119	20.5f	Gd/Sft	(b)	James Bowen	50/151
12 Dec 24	War	9/11	58	Hurdle	122	21f	Soft	(s)	Miss Lily Jones (10)	33/134
7 Nov 24	Nwb	4/7	29	Hurdle	124	16.3f	Gd/Sft		Miss Lily Jones (10)	12/113
28 May 23	Fnt	3/5	1.35	Hurdle	128	19.2f	Gd/Frm	(s)	Daryl Jacob	5/23.5
21 Oct 22	Chl	4/13	16	Hurdle	130	19.9f	Gd/Sft	(s)	Ben Ffrench Davis (7)	9/110

114561-

PERGAMON (FR) ⁽³⁶⁾

William Shanahan (5)

11-13

ch g FRANKEL - SPAIN BURG (FR) SAGEBURG (IRE)

J: William Shanahan (5)
T: Jennie Candlish

Jennie Candlish

(s+t)

(109)

114561-

2 PERGAMON (FR) ⁽³⁶⁾

J: William Shanahan (5)
T: Jennie Candlish
Age: 5 Wgt: 11-13 Eq: (s+t) OR: 109

Soundly beaten on first couple of handicap hurdles but found a chunk of improvement returning from 5 months off when winning 8-runner event at Huntingdon just over 5 weeks ago, seeming well suited by the drop back to 2m. Every chance he will defy a 7 lb higher mark here.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	6	1	17	2	33	13.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	732	102	14	301	41	-149.24
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	498	69	14	206	41	-48.01
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	13	1	8	3	23	-11.10

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	1	0	0	0	0	-1.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	227	12	5	53	23	-126.55
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	149	9	6	38	26	-67.25
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	3	0	0	0	0	-3.00

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
4 Apr 26	Hun	1/8	1.75	Hurdle	102	15.8f	Gd/Sft	(s+t)	William Shanahan (5)	22/123
14 Nov 25	Sou	6/7	23.5	Hurdle	105	20.4f	Soft	(s+t)	William Shanahan (5)	16/117
21 Oct 25	Per	5/9	24	Hurdle	107	20.2f	Heavy	(s+t)	Sean Quinlan	16/117
5 Sep 25	Hay	7/11	7	Turf	73	14f	Gd/Frm	(s+t)	Alfie Redman (5)	12/113
19 Jul 25	Don	3/6	4.75	Turf	74	16.5f	Good	(s+t)	Jason Hart	25/126

PP9-

THE TIDE TURNS ⁽²⁴⁾

Lewis Stones (3)

11-12

ch g SEA THE MOON (GER) - RED ROXANNE ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (IRE)

J: Lewis Stones (3)
T: Stephen Allen

Stephen Allen

(s+t)

(108)

PP9-

3 THE TIDE TURNS ⁽²⁴⁾

J: Lewis Stones (3)
T: Stephen Allen
Age: 8 Wgt: 11-12 Eq: (s+t) OR: 108

No impact on all 3 starts for new yard, the latest returning from a 5-month break.

Statistic	Runs R	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	1	0	0	-1.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	28	1	4	-28.00
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	20	0	0	-20.00

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	4	0	0	2	50	-4.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	376	43	11	129	34	-95.11
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	284	31	11	103	36	-54.80
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	9	2	22	4	44	-5.10

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
16 Apr 26	Her	9/9	70.5	Hurdle	114	16.2f	Good	(s+t)	Lewis Stones (3)	200/1201
6 Nov 25	Nwb	pu/13	70	Hurdle	120	16.3f	Gd/Sft	(s)	Jamie Brace	300/1301
13 Oct 25	Her	pu/4	5.00	Hurdle	122	21.7f	Gd/Frm	(s)	Jamie Brace (5)	66/167
18 Jul 24	Leo	10/11	15	Turf	69	12.8f	Good	(b+t)	C. D. Hayes	16/117
7 Jul 24	Lim	5/12	8	Turf	72	17f	Good	(t)	C. D. Hayes	16/117

2141085P-

SOLEIL D'ARIZONA (FR) ⁽³⁵⁾

Harry Skelton

11-12

b m PRINCE GIBRALTAR (FR) - ROXANNE (FR) FALCO (USA)

J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton

Dan Skelton

(h+t)

(108)

2141085P-

4 SOLEIL D'ARIZONA (FR) ⁽³⁵⁾

J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-12 Eq: (h+t) OR: 108

Three-time hurdle winner from the front in 2025. Below par on first 2 starts back from a break in February but took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 11 in 2m Stratford handicap in March. Found to have bled at Plumpton since, however. Skelton back in the plate a plus.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	18	7	39	14	78	-0.26
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	2533	434	17	1100	43	-681.94
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	1288	179	14	460	36	-242.35
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	126	15	12	57	45	-65.20

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	14	7	50	11	79	3.74
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1511	324	21	793	52	-376.88
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	707	126	18	305	43	-127.50
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	47	7	15	25	53	-21.65

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
5 Apr 26	Plu	pu/14	25.5	Hurdle	109	15.9f	Gd/Sft	(h+t)	Tristan Durrell	50/151
9 Mar 26	Str	5/11	15.5	Hurdle	109	16.3f	Soft	(h+t)	Charlie Todd	150/1151
18 Feb 26	Lud	8/8	31	Hurdle	112	15.8f	Soft	(h+t)	Liam Harrison	66/167
2 Feb 26	Kem	10/10	81	Hurdle	113	16f	Soft	(h+t)	Tristan Durrell	28/129
23 Sep 25	War	1/7	3.50	Hurdle	N	16f	Gd/Frm	(h+t)	Harry Skelton	4/111.36f

3326/1552-

ZUCAYAN (FR) ⁽¹⁵⁸⁾

Nick Slatter (3)

11-5

b g LUCAYAN (FR) - JOHN QUATZ (FR) JOHANN QUATZ (FR)

J: Nick Slatter (3)
T: Fergal O'Brien

Fergal O'Brien

(t)

(101)

3326/1552-

5 ZUCAYAN (FR) ⁽¹⁵⁸⁾

J: Nick Slatter (3)
T: Fergal O'Brien
Age: 9 Wgt: 11-5 Eq: (t) OR: 101

Has an excellent record here (all three career wins over C&D), most recently in this corresponding race last season. Struggled on the level towards the back end of last season but back on song when second of 9 over C&D (good to soft) 5 months ago. Respected on return.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	12	0	0	4	33	-12.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	2012	342	17	904	45	-355.95
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	1143	164	14	450	39	-161.86
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	166	35	21	78	47	-32.71

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	0	0	1	50	-2.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	136	16	12	46	34	-41.51
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	90	11	12	27	30	-23.92
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	19	4	21	10	53	5.00

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
3 Dec 25	Lud	2/9	13	Hurdle	102	15.8f	Gd/Sft	(t)	Nick Slatter (3)	16/117
23 Oct 25	Not	10/15	50	Turf	60	10.2f	Heavy	(t)	Rob Hornby	50/151
4 Oct 25	Wol	9/9	25.5	AW	65	7.2f	Slow	(t)	Kieran O'Neill	125/1126
15 Sep 25	Kem	9/9	9.5	AW	69	8f	Std	(t)	Rob Hornby	100/1101
2 Sep 25	Wol	4/5	6	AW	W	8.7f	Slow	(t)	George Downing	150/1151

F44/47640-

UFOURIA (IRE) ⁽²¹⁾

Jonathan Burke

11-1

b m VADAMOS (FR) - THE REAL THING (IRE) TRADITIONALLY (USA)

J: Jonathan Burke
T: Alastair Ralph

Alastair Ralph

(t)

(97)

F44/47640-

6 UFOURIA (IRE) ⁽²¹⁾

J: Jonathan Burke
T: Alastair Ralph
Age: 8 Wgt: 11-1 Eq: (t) OR: 97

Bumper winner in Ireland and bits and pieces of promise for this yard over hurdles, shaped a little better than the distance beaten suggested when tenth of 13 in handicap at Stratford (19f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Back down in trip and the handicapper has given her a chance.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	4	1	25	2	50	0.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	718	79	11	248	35	-219.24
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	515	58	11	182	35	-162.68
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	114	18	16	47	41	27.60

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	10	1	10	6	60	-6.75
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1282	173	13	524	41	-422.29
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	653	69	11	237	36	-248.96
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	139	27	19	73	53	38.58

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
19 Apr 26	Str	10/13	29	Hurdle	100	18.7f	Gd/Sft	(t)	Ciaran Gethings	9/110
25 Feb 26	Ban	4/10	8	Hurdle	N	16.7f	Soft	(t)	J. Hogan	11/112
7 Feb 26	War	6/8	15	Hurdle	110	16f	Soft	(t)	Jonathan Burke	22/123
15 Jan 26	Lud	7/9	20	Hurdle	115	15.8f	Soft	(t)	Ciaran Gethings	20/121
20 Dec 25	Her	4/12	17	Hurdle	N	16.2f	Soft	(t)	Ciaran Gethings	10/34.33

12577-

LORD CAUVELLIERE (FR) ⁽¹⁶⁷⁾

Callum Pritchard

10-11

gr g CHOEUR DU NORD (FR) - ELFE DES BRUYERES (FR) TURGEON (USA)

J: Callum Pritchard
T: Sheila Lewis

Sheila Lewis

(93)

12577-

7 LORD CAUVELLIERE (FR) ⁽¹⁶⁷⁾

J: Callum Pritchard
T: Sheila Lewis
Age: 5 Wgt: 10-11 OR: 93

Point bumper winner landed a Stratford bumper on his Rules debut and was only narrowly denied under a penalty at Bangor last June. Nowhere near that level in 3 starts over hurdles but may well prove a different proposition now handicapping on return.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	1	0	0	0	0	-1.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	252	9	4	34	13	-162.50
Hurdles Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	136	7	5	20	15	-60.00
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	101	10	10	25	25	-36.50

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
24 Nov 25	Lud	7/13	33	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Callum Pritchard (5)	125/1126
11 Nov 25	Her	7/9	20	Hurdle	N	16.2f	Gd/Sft		James Bowen	10/111
23 Oct 25	Lud	5/7	30.5	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Callum Pritchard (5)	9/110
21 Jun 25	Ban	2/12	0.10	NH Flat	W	16.7f	Gd/Frm		Freddie Mitchell (5)	5/23.5f
18 May 25	Str	1/10	5.5	NH Flat	N	16.3f	Good		Callum Pritchard (5)	8/19

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Analyst Verdict

Analyst Comments

Smart Stats

Past Winners

Analyst's Verdict

This looks to revolve around PERGAMON, who found a chunk of improvement to make a winning return at Huntingdon last month and Jennie Candlish's 5-y-o can make light of a 7 lb rise. All 3 of Zucayan's wins have been over C&D and having won this race last year, he's put forward as the main danger on reappearance. Lord Cauvelliere has shown precious little so far over hurdles, but the switch to a handicap may well see him in a better light.

Betting Forecast : 8/111.72 Pergamon, 9/25.5 Zucayan, 10/111 Soleil D'arizona, 10/111 Ufouria, 20/121 Lord Cauvelliere, 33/134 Hooper, 100/1101 The Tide Turns

Smart Stats
2 Fergal O'Brien's number of winners in past 5 runnings. (saddles ZUCAYAN)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A
22% Fergal O'Brien's strike rate at LUDLOW since the start of the 2022/23 season (saddles ZUCAYAN)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A
22% Dan Skelton's strike rate in summer (saddles SOLEIL D'ARIZONA)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A

2025	ZUCAYAN (FR)	8	11-9	7/24.5	T: Fergal O'Brien	J: Nick Slatter (5)	8 ran
2024	COLLINGHAM (GER)	6	12-0	17/29.5	T: Donald McCain	J: Charlie Maggs (7)	9 ran
2023	ZUCAYAN (FR)	6	11-3	4/15	T: Fergal O'Brien	J: Nick Slatter (5)	10 ran
2022	SOFIA'S ROCK (FR)	8	11-7	13/82.62f	T: Dan Skelton	J: Harry Skelton	7 ran
2021	COTTON END (IRE)	7	11-0	12/113	T: Sheila Lewis	J: Ben Jones (3)	6 ran

147

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16:02 Ludlow Racecard on Sunday 10 May 2026

The 1M 7F 169Y 16:02 WELSH GUARDS ASSOCIATION HANDICAP HURDLE (4) at Ludlow will be run on Sunday 10 May 2026. The going is currently Good (Good to Firm in places). This race will be shown on RTV. It is open to 4yo+ and has a prize fund of £4,489. There are 7 runners.

The market favourite for this race is HOOPER, he is ridden by Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell and trained by Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies. Timeform's verdict for this race is PERGAMON (FR), he is ridden by William Shanahan and trained by Jennie Candlish.

In Play Symbols

1	led/disputed lead
2	prominent/close up
3	mid-division
4	towards rear
5	behind

s (S)	slowly away (very slowly away)
k (K)	travelled comfortably (notably strongly)
o (O)	outpaced (badly outpaced)
r (R)	responded to pressure (very well)
i (I)	idled (markedly)
f (F)	found less than seemed likely (found nothing)
p (P)	pulled hard (very hard)
l (L)	raced lazily (very lazily)
§ (§§)	signs of temperament (marked reluctance)
j (J)	jumped well (very well)
x (X)	made mistakes (numerous mistakes)

LUDLOW 16:02

Ludlow

Cork (IRE)

Leopardstown (IRE)

16:02 Sun 10 May 2026

WELSH GUARDS ASSOCIATION HANDICAP HURDLE (4)

2

22%

22%

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16:02 Ludlow Racecard on Sunday 10 May 2026