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LUDLOW 14:17

Name: RADNOR HILLS WATER MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE (4)
Start: 2026-05-10T14:17:00
End: 2026-05-10T17:10:00
Location: Ludlow

14:17 14:52 15:27 16:02 16:37 17:10

14:17 >

14:17 Sun 10 May 2026	Unlock this Race
RADNOR HILLS WATER MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE (4)	Distance : 1m 7f 169y
Prize : £5,446 Age : 4yo+ Race State : Declaration Runners : 7	Going : Good (Good to Firm in places)
Race State : Declaration Runners : 7 runners

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F5221-

FIRST CANDIDATE ⁽³⁶⁾

Harry Skelton

11-9

ch m JACK HOBBS - STORM PATROL SHIROCCO (GER)

J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton

Dan Skelton

(t)

F5221-

1 FIRST CANDIDATE ⁽³⁶⁾

J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-9 Eq: (t)

Promising sort who completed a simple task when winning 7-runner maiden hurdle at Haydock (2m, good) 36 days ago. Will be suited by longer trips in time but hails from a top yard and holds outstanding claims of defying a penalty in this company.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	18	7	39	14	78	-0.26
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	2533	434	17	1100	43	-681.94
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	1245	255	20	640	51	-439.59
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	126	15	12	57	45	-65.20

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	14	7	50	11	79	3.74
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1511	324	21	793	52	-376.88
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	804	198	25	488	61	-249.38
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	47	7	15	25	53	-21.65

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
4 Apr 26	Hay	1/7	9.5	Hurdle	N	15.7f	Good	(t)	Harry Skelton	1/41.25f
21 Mar 26	Kel	2/15	1.00	Hurdle	110	16.2f	Gd/Sft	(t)	Tristan Durrell	11/112
4 Feb 26	Lud	2/11	0.75	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Soft	(t)	Harry Skelton	7/24.5
22 Dec 25	Hun	5/15	8.5	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Soft	(t)	Harry Skelton	18/119
30 Oct 25	Str	F/8	37.5	Hurdle	N	22f	Gd/Sft		Harry Skelton	3/14

86-

BITS BALLOU ⁽²⁶⁾

Tom Bellamy

11-2

b m SCORPION (IRE) - BIGNOSE KATE OVERBURY (IRE)

J: Tom Bellamy
T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

86-

2 BITS BALLOU ⁽²⁶⁾

J: Tom Bellamy
T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Age: 5 Wgt: 11-2

Showed as much temperament as ability in 2 starts to date and looks very hard to fancy back down in trip.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	0	0	2	100	-2.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	244	43	18	109	45	-92.64
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	123	26	21	67	54	-43.73
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	35	7	20	15	43	-0.12

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	8	0	0	2	25	-8.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1179	146	12	447	38	-332.91
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	583	82	14	243	42	-124.63
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	86	13	15	40	47	-30.50

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
14 Apr 26	NAb	6/10	63.5	Hurdle	N	21.6f	Gd/Sft		Sam Twiston-Davies	50/151
19 Mar 26	Lud	8/12	20	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Toby McCain-Mitchell (5)	40/141

5/85-

BRIERY ROSE ⁽²⁶⁾

David Bass

11-2

ch m SIR PERCY - BRIERY BELLE KING'S THEATRE (IRE)

J: David Bass
T: Henry Daly

Henry Daly

5/85-

3 BRIERY ROSE ⁽²⁶⁾

J: David Bass
T: Henry Daly
Age: 6 Wgt: 11-2

Showed a bit in bumpers on first 2 starts but recent hurdling debut suggests she's being brought along with handicaps over further in mind.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	1	50	1	50	3.50
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	488	82	17	205	42	-17.38
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	196	29	15	74	38	-85.43
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	123	20	16	62	50	3.96

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	1	50	2	100	8.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	694	83	12	255	37	-216.93
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	347	41	12	133	38	-176.80
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	62	8	13	23	37	-35.60

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
14 Apr 26	MRa	5/7	16	Hurdle	N	16.6f	Good		David Bass	22/123
7 Mar 26	Her	8/14	23	NH Flat	N	16.2f	Gd/Sft		Dylan Johnston	8/19
31 Dec 24	Utt	5/13	6.5	NH Flat	N	15.8f	Heavy		Sean Bowen	22/123

04797-

DAME IN DISGUISE (IRE) ⁽⁴⁰⁾

Charlie Hammond

11-2

b m GETAWAY (GER) - DAME O'NEILL (IRE) DR MASSINI (IRE)

J: Charlie Hammond
T: Max Young

Max Young

(s) ¹

04797-

4 DAME IN DISGUISE (IRE) ⁽⁴⁰⁾

J: Charlie Hammond
T: Max Young
Age: 5 Wgt: 11-2 Eq: (s) ¹

Well beaten in a trio of bumpers and fared no better when hurdling the last twice so looks out of her depth here with cheekpieces now applied.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	1	0	0	0	0	-1.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	208	8	4	24	12	-56.13
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	92	1	1	4	4	-83.00
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	36	1	3	3	8	-19.00

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	4	0	0	0	0	-4.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	721	94	13	270	37	-46.59
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	284	34	12	97	34	-34.12
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	37	7	19	10	27	-5.03

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
31 Mar 26	Nwc	7/8	45.5	Hurdle	N	20.3f	Good		Murray Dodd (7)	125/1126
19 Mar 26	Lud	9/12	26	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Ben Poste	300/1301
20 Feb 26	War	7/8	61	NH Flat	W	16f	Soft		Charlie Hammond	250/1251
26 Dec 25	Sed	4/4	15	NH Flat	W	16.8f	Gd/Sft		Conor Ring	80/181
20 Nov 25	War	11/13	31.5	NH Flat	W	16f	Gd/Sft		Sean Bowen	40/141

2344-

ENYA (GER) ^(22N)

Gavin Sheehan

10-10

b f LORD OF ENGLAND (GER) - ERICA (GER) MAMOOL (IRE)

J: Gavin Sheehan
T: Jamie Snowden

Jamie Snowden

(t) ¹

2344-

5 ENYA (GER) ^(22N)

J: Gavin Sheehan
T: Jamie Snowden
Age: 4 Wgt: 10-10 Eq: (t) ¹

Has previous hurdling experience when second in juvenile event in November but failed to better that form in bumpers this year. Tongue strap on 1st time ahead of return to timber.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	11	3	27	7	64	-1.72
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	827	167	20	407	49	-81.24
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	396	101	26	235	59	-59.67
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	35	10	29	23	66	-0.31

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	18	5	28	9	50	5.78
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1423	255	18	662	47	-79.91
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	652	132	20	340	52	-141.83
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	50	8	16	21	42	-26.78

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
18 Apr 26	Ban	4/11	6.5	NH Flat	W	16.7f	Good		Gavin Sheehan	6/17
4 Apr 26	NAb	4/12	5	NH Flat	N	16.8f	Good		Isabelle Ryder (5)	5/16
4 Mar 26	Cat	3/8	3.50	NH Flat	W	15.7f	Good		Gavin Sheehan	6/42.5f
20 Nov 25	War	2/7	9	Hurdle	W	16f	Gd/Sft		Gavin Sheehan	13/82.62

57-

PEACE OF AMARON ⁽¹⁴⁴⁾

Callum Pritchard

10-10

ch f AMARON - PEACE FLOWER (IRE) DASHING BLADE

J: Callum Pritchard
T: Debra Hamer

Debra Hamer

57-

6 PEACE OF AMARON ⁽¹⁴⁴⁾

J: Callum Pritchard
T: Debra Hamer
Age: 4 Wgt: 10-10

Bred more for the Flat and has shown little in 2 hurdle starts to suggest she'll take a hand here.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	1	0	0	1	100	-1.00
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	133	8	6	23	17	-65.85
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	37	1	3	3	8	-35.10
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	13	1	8	2	15	-8.80

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
No statistics available

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
17 Dec 25	Lud	7/11	35.5	Hurdle	W	15.8f	Soft		Robert Dunne	66/167
3 Nov 25	Her	5/6	12	Hurdle	W	16.2f	Good		Robert Dunne	125/1126

4773-

SILVEREEN ⁽⁵²⁾

Sam Twiston-Davies

10-10

b f SILVERWAVE (FR) - SAINTE ALINE (FR) ENRIQUE

J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: Henry Daly

Henry Daly

4773-

7 SILVEREEN ⁽⁵²⁾

J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: Henry Daly
Age: 4 Wgt: 10-10

Showed more when third of 12 in a C&D mares maiden (good to soft) 52 days ago, but her future lies over further and she'll likely need a mishap from the favourite to be winning this.

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	2	1	50	1	50	3.50
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	488	82	17	205	42	-17.38
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	196	29	15	74	38	-85.43
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	123	20	16	62	50	3.96

Statistic	Runs R	Wins W	Win % W%	Places Pl	Place % Pl%	P/L PL
Jumps (This Season)	13	3	23	6	46	-3.56
Hurdles (Last 5 Seasons)	1844	286	16	850	46	-367.20
Hurdles Non Hcps (Last 5 Seasons)	813	146	18	428	53	-351.79
LUDLOW (Last 5 Seasons)	163	27	17	98	60	-29.16

Date	Crs	Res	Btn	Type	OR	Dis	Going	Eq	Jockey	ISP	BSP	IP Hi/Lo	IPS	FS%	Tfig	TFR	Adj
19 Mar 26	Lud	3/12	5.00	Hurdle	N	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Sam Twiston-Davies	7/18
4 Feb 26	Lud	7/8	20.5	Hurdle	W	15.8f	Soft		Sam Twiston-Davies	125/1126
20 Dec 25	Her	7/12	21.5	NH Flat	W	16.2f	Soft		Stan Sheppard	11/112
6 Nov 25	Lud	4/8	11	NH Flat	W	15.8f	Gd/Sft		Stan Sheppard	14/115

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Analyst Verdict

Analyst Comments

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Past Winners

Analyst's Verdict

FIRST CANDIDATE had loads in hand when getting off the mark last month and has been found an excellent opportunity to follow up under a penalty. Silvereen may prove best of the rest.

Betting Forecast : 1/21.5 First Candidate, 11/26.5 Silvereen, 6/17 Enya, 22/123 Briery Rose, 66/167 Peace Of Amaron, 100/1101 Bits Ballou, 150/1151 Dame In Disguise

Smart Stats
24% Henry Daly's strike rate in summer (saddles SILVEREEN and BRIERY ROSE)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A
42% Harry Skelton's strike rate on hurdling favourites (rides FIRST CANDIDATE)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A
22% Jamie Snowden's strike rate with hurdlers at up to 2m2f (saddles ENYA)	SP SP SPN/AN/AN/A

2025

SERVICE MINIMUM (FR)

11-0

1/121.08f

T: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

3 ran

147

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14:17 Ludlow Racecard on Sunday 10 May 2026

The 1M 7F 169Y 14:17 RADNOR HILLS WATER MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE (4) at Ludlow will be run on Sunday 10 May 2026. The going is currently Good (Good to Firm in places). This race will be shown on RTV. It is open to 4yo+ and has a prize fund of £5,446. There are 7 runners.

The market favourite for this race is BRIERY ROSE, she is ridden by David Bass and trained by Henry Daly. Timeform's verdict for this race is FIRST CANDIDATE, she is ridden by Harry Skelton and trained by Dan Skelton.

In Play Symbols

1	led/disputed lead
2	prominent/close up
3	mid-division
4	towards rear
5	behind

s (S)	slowly away (very slowly away)
k (K)	travelled comfortably (notably strongly)
o (O)	outpaced (badly outpaced)
r (R)	responded to pressure (very well)
i (I)	idled (markedly)
f (F)	found less than seemed likely (found nothing)
p (P)	pulled hard (very hard)
l (L)	raced lazily (very lazily)
§ (§§)	signs of temperament (marked reluctance)
j (J)	jumped well (very well)
x (X)	made mistakes (numerous mistakes)

LUDLOW 14:17

Ludlow

Cork (IRE)

Leopardstown (IRE)

14:17 Sun 10 May 2026

RADNOR HILLS WATER MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE (4)

24%

42%

22%

Smart Stats Live

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14:17 Ludlow Racecard on Sunday 10 May 2026