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KELSO 17:35
14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:0017:35
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17:35
17:35 Mon 15 April 2024 |
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RACING TV OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT (4) |
Distance : 2m 51y |
| Prize : £2,723 Age : 4yo to 6yo Race State : Declaration Runners : 9 | Going : Soft |
| Race State : Declaration Runners : 9 runners |
| Form | Silk | Horse Name (Days Off) | Jockey | Flags | Age | Wgt | TFR | Odds (View All) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entry Silk | Pedigree | Jockey & Trainer | Trainer | (Equip) | IPS | |||
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BALKING (FR) (59H) | Henry Brooke |
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6 | 11-3 |
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| 1 | ch g BALKO (FR) - ANAQUEEN (FR) MARTALINE | J: Henry Brooke
T: Dianne Sayer |
Dianne Sayer |
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1 BALKING (FR) (59H) |
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1
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J: Henry Brooke
T: Dianne Sayer Age: 6 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| Related to a winner over jumps in France and showed ability when fourth of 12 on C&D debut (soft) in February. Could step forward from that. | ||||||||
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FUJITA SCALE (IRE) | Jamie Hamilton |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 2 | b g SNOW SKY - MOODY QUEEN (IRE) SCORPION (IRE) | J: Jamie Hamilton
T: Pauline Robson |
Pauline Robson |
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2 FUJITA SCALE (IRE) |
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2
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J: Jamie Hamilton
T: Pauline Robson Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| Snow Sky gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 25f) Themoonandsixpence. Stable gets the odd bumper winner so worth a second look in the market. | ||||||||
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KAPAL LAYAR (IRE) | Sean Bowen |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 3 | b g MILAN - SHEES A DANTE (IRE) WESTERNER | J: Sean Bowen
T: Olly Murphy |
Olly Murphy |
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3 KAPAL LAYAR (IRE) |
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3
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J: Sean Bowen
T: Olly Murphy Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| €72,000 Milan gelding. Brother to bumper winner/useful hurdler Nina The Terrier. Makes plenty of appeal yard with fine record in this discipline. | ||||||||
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LANCE LES DES (FR) (59H) | Bruce Lynn (3) |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 4 | ch g GRIS DE GRIS (IRE) - MACARA (GER) ACATENANGO (GER) | J: Bruce Lynn
(3)
T: N. W. Alexander |
N. W. Alexander |
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4 LANCE LES DES (FR) (59H) |
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4
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J: Bruce Lynn
(3)
T: N. W. Alexander Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| 12/1, held back by inexperience when fifth of 12 on C&D debut (soft) 8 weeks ago, with the reopposing Balking narrowly ahead in fourth. | ||||||||
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RED CADILLAC (IRE) (30H) | Callum Bewley |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 5 | ch g JUKEBOX JURY (IRE) - TELL THE TALE (FR) ELNADIM (USA) | J: Callum Bewley
T: Nicky Richards |
Nicky Richards |
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5 RED CADILLAC (IRE) (30H) |
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5
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J: Callum Bewley
T: Nicky Richards Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| Jukebox Jury gelding who has made the frame in bumpers at Carlisle and Newcastle in recent weeks. Likely to be in the shake-up again. | ||||||||
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RED NED (IRE) (49C) | Ryan Mania |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 6 | ch g DIAMOND BOY (FR) - KILBARRY MARIEN (IRE) MARIENBARD (IRE) | J: Ryan Mania
T: Sandy Thomson |
Sandy Thomson |
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6 RED NED (IRE) (49C) |
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6
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J: Ryan Mania
T: Sandy Thomson Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| Little form in 3 Irish points but much more like it when close second on Southwell bumper debut in November. Dropped away to finish a well-held fifth of 6 at Ayr 3 monts later. Needs to get back to the Southwell form. | ||||||||
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THE FINAL WORD (IRE) | Sean Quinlan |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 7 | ch g GETAWAY (GER) - LADY BEN (IRE) BENEFICIAL | J: Sean Quinlan
T: Jennie Candlish |
Jennie Candlish |
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7 THE FINAL WORD (IRE) |
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7
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J: Sean Quinlan
T: Jennie Candlish Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| £70,000 purchase after winning a point in February. Stable only has a 2-35 bumper strike-rate in the last 5 seasons but this one still needs checking out in the betting. | ||||||||
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WHERE'S WILLY | Mr Nick Orpwood (7) |
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5 | 11-3 |
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| 8 | b g BLACK SAM BELLAMY (IRE) - MY LADY WEST (IRE) WESTERNER | J: Mr Nick Orpwood
(7)
T: Jess Mckie |
Jess Mckie |
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8 WHERE'S WILLY |
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8
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J: Mr Nick Orpwood
(7)
T: Jess Mckie Age: 5 Wgt: 11-3 |
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| Black Sam Bellamy gelding who was fourth in a point bumper in January. Probably best watched. | ||||||||
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BESPOKE TAILOR (IRE) | Craig Nichol |
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4 | 10-9 |
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| 9 | b g MALINAS (GER) - BESPOKE BABY (IRE) INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE) | J: Craig Nichol
T: Ewan Whillans |
Ewan Whillans |
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9 BESPOKE TAILOR (IRE) |
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9
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J: Craig Nichol
T: Ewan Whillans Age: 4 Wgt: 10-9 |
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| €6,000 Malinas gelding. Half-brother to temperamental but fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Invincible Cave. The stable does get the occasional bumper winner. | ||||||||
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INOUE (IRE) | Brian Hughes |
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4 | 10-9 |
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| 10 | b g WALK IN THE PARK (IRE) - ROSE INDIENNE (FR) EPERVIER BLEU | J: Brian Hughes
T: Stuart Crawford, Ireland |
Stuart Crawford, Ireland |
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10 INOUE (IRE) |
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10
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J: Brian Hughes
T: Stuart Crawford, Ireland Age: 4 Wgt: 10-9 |
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| €28,000 Walk In The Park gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/chaser Fellow Mag and Bois Sans Soif. Brian Hughes up for yard always to be feared in these events in Britain. | ||||||||
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KELLERMANN (FR) | Danny McMenamin |
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4 | 10-9 |
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| 11 | b g BATTLE OF MARENGO (IRE) - MRS PERCIVAL LAHIB (USA) | J: Danny McMenamin
T: N. W. Alexander |
N. W. Alexander |
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11 KELLERMANN (FR) |
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11
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J: Danny McMenamin
T: N. W. Alexander Age: 4 Wgt: 10-9 |
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| Battle of Marengo gelding. Half-brother to useful staying hurdler/smart 2¼m chase winner Perceval Legallois and bumper winner/fair chaser Wavelength. One of 2 from the stable. The betting should provide more clues. | ||||||||
| In Play Symbols | |
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| 1 | led/disputed lead |
| 2 | prominent/close up |
| 3 | mid-division |
| 4 | towards rear |
| 5 | behind |
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| s (S) | slowly away (very slowly away) |
| k (K) | travelled comfortably (notably strongly) |
| o (O) | outpaced (badly outpaced) |
| r (R) | responded to pressure (very well) |
| i (I) | idled (markedly) |
| f (F) | found less than seemed likely (found nothing) |
| p (P) | pulled hard (very hard) |
| l (L) | raced lazily (very lazily) |
| § (§§) | signs of temperament (marked reluctance) |
| j (J) | jumped well (very well) |
| x (X) | made mistakes (numerous mistakes) |
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Those with experience don't set the bar that high so this may go to a newcomer, with KAPAL LAYAR the suggestion for a stable with a very healthy 22% strike-rate in bumpers in the last 5 seasons. Inoue is another debutant from a yard which does well in bumpers, while Red Cadillac may prove best of those who have already seen the racecourse. |
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Betting Forecast : 3/14 Kapal Layar, 11/26.5 Red Ned, 6/17 Inoue, 7/18 Red Cadillac, 11/112 Balking, 12/113 Fujita Scale, 12/113 The Final Word, 16/117 Lance Les Des, 25/126 Kellermann, 33/134 Bespoke Tailor, 50/151 Where's Willy |
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Smart Stats |
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£61.37Stuart Crawford's profit to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card (bumpers) (saddles INOUE) |
N/A
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21%Sandy Thomson's strike rate at KELSO since the start of the 2019/20 season (saddles RED NED) |
NR
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69The number of MILAN's progeny that have won their first bumper (Sires KAPAL LAYAR) |
N/A
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| 2023 (D.I) | HIERACHY (FR) | 5 | 11-3 | 7/24.5 | T: N. W. Alexander | J: Bruce Lynn (3) | 10 ran |
| 2023 (D.II) | LUNE DE LA MER (IRE) | 6 | 11-3 | 7/18 | T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero | J: Henry Brooke | 11 ran |
| 2022 | ROCKY HILL | 5 | 11-1 | 33/134 | T: Ewan Whillans | J: Craig Nichol | 12 ran |
| 2021 | GEORDIES DREAM | 6 | 11-0 | 28/129 | T: Pauline Robson | J: Sean Quinlan | 13 ran |
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