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Southwell 17:30 Odds Comparison
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4
(3)
CASTAN
64053-228
C&D winner. Placed 3 times this winter but weakened into eighth behind Dark Kestrel at Newcastle last time. |
5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 11/4 | - | - | 4.3 |
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5
(4)
BLUE LAKOTA (IRE)
617-21634
Adding consistency to his game and was a winner at Newcastle (6f) in January. Creditable fourth of 6 over 5f there last time. |
3/1 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3/1 | - | - | 4.5 |
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7
(1)
BRAZILIAN BELLE (IRE)
83547-311
Back to winning ways over C&D in February and had a couple of today's rivals behind when following up at Wolverhampton (5f) 18 days ago. Respected on the hat-trick bid. |
3/1 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3/1 | - | - | 4.6 |
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9
(5)
TOOMUCHFORME
0907-7318
C&D winner in March. Bumped at the start and can probably be forgiven Saturday's last of 8 at Wolverhampton. Billy Loughnane rides. |
15/2 | 6/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | - | - | 9.2 |
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2
(2)
DARK KESTREL (IRE)
48-961816
Two 5f Newcastle wins this year. 8/1, 1¾ lengths sixth of 9 to Brazilian Belle in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 18 days ago, never nearer. |
10/1 | 17/2 | 9/1 | 10/1 | - | - | 12 |
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6
(7)
TEES AGGREGATES (IRE)
17043017-
Two turf wins in 2025. Also a close second on her reappearance last year so evidently capable when fresh. The surface is an unknown, though, with her previous 17 starts all on turf. |
14/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | - | - | 16.5 |
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1
(8)
SMOOTH SILESIE (IRE)
1144371-6
Four 5f wins in a productive 2025 and should be sharper for last month's reappearance. Remains 5 lb above her last winning mark, though. |
16/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | - | - | 18.5 |
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8
(6)
FIERCE (IRE)
18100557-
Fairly useful at best but below par since a claiming at Wolverhampton last August. A 132-day break needs to have had a reviving effect. |
18/1 | 14/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | - | - | 22 |
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3
(9)
BINADHAM (IRE)
866342-63
Fourteen runs since last win in 2024. 5/1, creditable neck third of 9 to Brazilian Belle at Wolverhampton (5f) 18 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time. Gets the nod. |
NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR |
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Analyst's Verdict
If first-time cheekpieces give BINADHAM a bit extra he can turn around last month's Wolverhampton form with Brazilian Belle and land a first win since his debut. Last month's C&D scorer Toomuchforme can be excused her subsequent Wolverhampton effort and is next on the list.
Betting Forecast3/14 Blue Lakota, 9/25.5 Binadham, 5/16 Brazilian Belle, 9/110 Castan, 9/110 Toomuchforme, 10/111 Dark Kestrel, 18/119 Tees Aggregates, 20/121 Smooth Silesie, 20/121 Fierce
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