16:40 Exeter Betting Odds Comparison

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Plumpton

| Going: Chase: Good (Good to Soft in places; Hurdle: Good to Soft) | Briefing

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1 EASTERN ROCK (IRE) No form J: Ben Jones T: Emma Lavelle SP £70,000 half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/very smart chaser Thunder Rock (winner up to 23f) and modest hurdler/fair chaser Sir Rock (2½m-3¼m winner, both by Shirocco), from the family of top-class 2½m-3m hurdle winner Lady Rebecca. Point winner in October and clearly of interest.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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2 FINE TUNING (IRE) 2 J: Sam Twiston-Davies T: Anthony Honeyball SP €86,000 Blue Bresil half-brother to 5 winners, including useful hurdler/chase winner Regent's Stroll and useful bumper winner/hurdler Didtheyleaveuoutto. Tongue tied, strong in the betting and showed plenty when second on debut at Wincanton (heavy) 2 months ago. Entitled to improve.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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3 INK BLACK HEART 4-2 J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton SP Has made a good start showing fairly useful form in bumpers a year apart (trained by Tom Weston on debut), running into a subsequent listed winner on return at Wetherby at Christmas. Surely has a race like this in him.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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4 KEEP OFF THE SUGAR 5-0 J: Rex Dingle T: Jimmy Frost SP Modest form on debut at Wincanton a year ago and too free returning for new yard there recently. Hood goes on.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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5 LINGERING GLANCE 8 J: Lorcan Williams T: Jeremy Scott SP Brother to stable star Dashel Drasher and looked one for the longer term himself in Wincanton bumper 2 months ago.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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6 MIGHTY ZEUS (IRE) No form J: Sean Houlihan T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White SP Arctic Cosmos gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including smart chaser Heron Heights and fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Witness In Court.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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7 RIVER KWAI (FR) No form J: Harry Cobden T: Paul Nicholls SP €130,000 No Risk At All gelding. Brother to fairly useful chaser Prince des Fichaux, stays 33f, and half-brother to hurdler Prouchki. Dam (c146/h130) 17f-21f hurdles/chase winner. Appealing newcomer on paper.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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8 I'LLHAVEABITOFTHAT (IRE) 77 J: Bryan Carver T: Chris Honour SP Well held in 2 bumpers.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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9 PORTH MEAR No form J: Mr Jack Stenhouse (7) T: Ryan Chapman SP Linda's Lad mare. Dam ran once in bumper. Wears hood.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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10 NEW VIRGINIA (FR) 0 J: James Davies T: Nigel Hawke SP Desinvolte filly out of sister to smart staying chaser Ramses de Teillee. 200/1, never dangerous in Wincanton bumper 3 weeks ago.	SP	-	SP	SP	-	-	1.11
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INK BLACK HEART has shown plenty in a couple of bumpers, finding only a subsequent listed winner too good when starting out for Dan Skelton at Wetherby. He can get the job done this time. The money was down for Fine Tuning at Wincanton and he can build on that promising start, while point winner Eastern Rock and River Kwai are interesting runners on their first go in this sphere.

Betting Forecast

15/82.87 Ink Black Heart, 11/43.75 Fine Tuning, 4/15 River Kwai, 8/19 Eastern Rock, 16/117 Mighty Zeus, 50/151 Lingering Glance, 100/1101 Porth Mear, 100/1101 New Virginia, 300/1301 Keep Off The Sugar, 300/1301 I'llhaveabitofthat

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14:15 Plumpton (R1) 2m4f116y C4 Novice 8 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

It could be worth taking a chance on hurdle debutante VISCOUNTESS NELSON who shaped as though in need of this sort of test when fourth on bumper debut. She's less exposed than consistent Escort'kheops, who looks the most solid of those with hurdles experience, while any market confidence behind returning Our Amigo would be significant.

VISCOUNTESS NELSON (IRE) Nico de Boinville

2/13

Won sole start in points and showed a bit when fourth in 8-runner Huntingdon bumper on Rules debut in December. Could prove a different proposition now sent hurdling over markedly longer trip. Position Prediction: 1

ESCORT'KHEOPS (FR) K. Brogan

5/42.25

Remains a maiden after 7 starts under Rules (also hit frame 3 times in points), though he further underlined his consistency when runner-up in 2½m Southwell maiden last month, splitting a pair from top yards. Looks sure to give another good account. Position Prediction: 2

OUR AMIGO James Davies

10/34.33

Placed in point prior to promising debut third in a Stratford novice in October that has produced winners. Best forgiven Lingfield run the following month when found to have a bled and with this longer trip expected to suit on breeding, he's one to note for market support. Position Prediction: 3

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7/42.75

21%

Sean Bowen's strike rate at FFOS LAS (rides PORT AND BRANDY)

7/42.75

39%

Sean Bowen's strike rate on favourites in bumpers (rides PORT AND BRANDY)

4/15

25%

Jamie Snowden's strike rate with bumper horses running over less than 2m (saddles MIRABELLO)

Exeter 16:40 Odds Comparison

Ffos Las

Plumpton

Wolverhampton

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

21%

39%

25%