14:40 Epsom Downs Betting Odds Comparison

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1 (3) CASTORIENTA No form J: Pat Cosgrave T: George Baker ISP: 6/4	Industry Starting Price: 6/4	-
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1st 3 (4) INCITING INCIDENT (IRE) No form J: Ryan Moore T: Ed McMahon ISP: 2/1	Industry Starting Price: 2/1	-
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5 (2) DOUBLE CZECH (IRE) No form J: David Probert T: Patrick Chamings ISP: 5/1	Industry Starting Price: 5/1	-
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2nd 2 (6) MISS BRAZIL (IRE) No form J: Kieran O'Neill T: Richard Hannon ISP: 7/1	Industry Starting Price: 7/1	-
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7 (7) INTENSE FEELING (IRE) No form J: Adam Beschizza T: Lee Carter ISP: 8/1	Industry Starting Price: 8/1	-
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4 (5) THE DANDY YANK (IRE) No form J: William Carson T: Jamie Osborne	NR	NR
6 (1) WHAT A DANDY (IRE) No form J: Nicky Mackay T: Jim Boyle	NR	NR
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Inciting Incident has the assistance of Ryan Moore, but there's a good chance he was flattered by his seemingly-improved showing at Nottingham last time (raced against favoured rail) so fellow last-time-out winner Castorienta is a more attractive proposition. The Dandy Yank would be dangerous if granted a soft lead, too.

Betting Forecast

9/43.25 Castorienta, 4/15 Inciting Incident, 6/17 The Dandy Yank, 15/28.5 Intense Feeling, 9/110 What A Dandy, 10/111 Double Czech, 11/112 Miss Brazil

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18:00 Kempton Park (R3) 1m C5 Hcap 10 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

Cases can be made for a few of these but the most persuasive is for BIRD OF WAR, who gave the impression he'd benefit from a return to this trip when third at Lingfield last month. Heading up the dangers is Decalogue, who is steadily improving in handicaps and first-time cheekpieces could be just what he requires. Unionville and Berkshire Boom can fight out third.

7 (1)

BIRD OF WAR (IRE) Kieran Shoemark

9/43.25

Opened his account at Newcastle last November and ran respectably reverted to the all-weather when third of 8 at Lingfield (7f) just under 3 weeks ago. Left the impression he'll benefit from this return to 1m that day so one to take seriously. Position Prediction: 1

1 (2)

DECALOGUE (USA) William Carver

3/14

Low-mileage 3-y-o who is steadily improving in handicaps and ran well when second of 8 at Salisbury 11 days ago. Often misses the break but has first-time cheekpieces applied here so that could unlock further progress. One to note. Engaged 5.30 Bath Sunday. Position Prediction: 2

2 (6)

UNIONVILLE Owen Lewis (5)

7/18

Found some improvement to score from a mark 9 lb lower than in the spring in 6-runner event at this course (7f) just under a fortnight ago, getting away with a wide trip thanks to the slack pace and showing the best turn of speed. Nudged up 2 lb and fancied to be in the shake-up again. Position Prediction: 3

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N/A

£35.36

Mark Usher's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting (saddles IVAT GHIA)

N/A

£74.44

Pat Phelan's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting (saddles CELTIC JOHN)

Epsom Downs 14:40 Odds Comparison

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