15:02 Bangor-On-Dee Betting Odds Comparison

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Ayr

| Going: Soft (Heavy in places) | Briefing

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6 KILLYCARN (IRE) 9381642 J: Oscar Palmer (7) T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 16/5 Runner-up sole point start and left previous form in this sphere behind when striking on handicap bow at Catterick on New Year's Day. Firmly back on track when second in a higher grade at Musselburgh (2½m, good) last time and he's one to take very seriously.	3/1	11/4	16/5	16/5	-	-	4.1
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2 THEY WANT ME (IRE) 4-2135 J: Theo Gillard T: Donald McCain 7/2 Point winner who chased home subsequent Grade 1 winner Idaho Sun on hurdles debut here in November. Duly went one better at Kelso just after Christmas but has struggled in a couple of novice events since and has undergone a breathing operation ahead of this handicap bow. Tongue strap applied.	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	-	-	4.7
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5 LEJO DU SEUIL (FR) 2952 J: Liam Harrison T: Ian Williams 4/1 Changed hands for €70,000 after finishing in the money on 2 of his 3 starts in France last year. Has improved with each of his 3 runs on this side of the Channel, finishing second in 2m Huntingdon maiden hurdle last time, and may do better now upped in trip for this handicap debut.	7/2	10/3	15/4	4/1	-	-	7
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9 CRACK OPS 21632 J: Charlie Todd T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 4/1 Ludlow bumper winner in November before finishing sixth of 16 in Cheltenham listed event. Both efforts in this sphere have been respectable, latterly runner-up in first-time cheekpieces (retained) in 16.7f juvenile event at this course, but more needed now upped in trip for this handicap debut.	4/1	4/1	15/4	15/4	-	-	5.2
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7 I'VE MADEUPMYMIND 3412-F8P6 J: Callum Pritchard (3) T: Ben Pauling 11/2 Landed the odds in a maiden hurdle here last season and was making headway when falling 2 out on seasonal/handicap debut at Kempton in November. Has failed to build on that in 3 subsequent starts but she's in good hands and the handicapper is showing mercy.	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	-	-	4.9
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1 SUTHERLAND (IRE) 936-52035 J: Jack Andrews T: Tom Ellis 17/2 Fair form in bumpers for Nicky Henderson and has performed well on a couple of occasions for new yard over hurdles, including when third of 6 on handicap debut at Newton Abbot (2m, good to soft) in February. However, looked irresolute with cheekpieces enlisted (retained) upped to 2½m last time.	17/2	15/2	8/1	8/1	-	-	9.4
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3 LOCQUIREC (FR) 2-4366F J: Toby Wynne T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 16/1 Made the frame all 3 starts over hurdles in France for Francois Nicolle but below that level so far on these shores.	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	-	-	17
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4 SHENGAI ENKI (FR) 513224-7P J: James Best T: Barry Brennan 25/1 Fairly useful winning hurdler for previous yard but that have not been at positives to take from his 2 runs for present connections, latterly pulled up on chase debut at Uttoxeter.	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	-	-	12
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8 VINNIE O'NEIL P/P489 J: Tom Bellamy T: Sam Allwood 40/1 Only one effort of note in his qualifying runs and was well beaten on handicap debut at Wetherby when last seen on Boxing Day. First-time tongue strap he wore that day is now discarded.	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	-	-	14.5
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KILLYCARN took a step back in the right direction when chasing home a progressive one in a Class 2 Musselburgh handicap and he is a solid candidate eased in grade here. Handicap debutant Lejo du Seuil is feared most, though I've Madeupmymind also looks dangerous having slipped to an attractive mark.

Betting Forecast

11/43.75 Killycarn, 4/15 Lejo Du Seuil, 9/25.5 They Want Me, 7/18 I've Madeupmymind, 17/29.5 Crack Ops, 12/113 Sutherland, 22/123 Locquirec, 50/151 Shengai Enki, 80/181 Vinnie O'neil

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13:10 Ayr (R1) 2m110y C1 Hcap 9 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

Despite failing to complete a Red Rum Handicap hat-trick last week, SAINS BRUIT went with plenty of verve for a long way and with these conditions right up his street, he looks weighted to strike. Palacio's consistency isn't his strong suit but he's a major player if repeating his Newbury form, while French-recruit Le Nez Creux is the unknown quantity.

SANS BRUIT (FR) Harry Cobden

10/34.33

Ideally suited by front-running tactics and landed Red Rum Handicap Chase for second successive season 12 months ago. Down in the weights and shaped as though in good order when third in that renewal 9 days ago, brushed aside on long run to the last. Major claims from this mark. Position Prediction: 1

PALACIO (FR) Dylan Johnston

4/15

Free-going sort who got his chase career back on track in no uncertain terms when dominating a small-field contest at Newbury 4 weeks ago. Clearly seen to good effect on that occasion and 6 lb rise asks for more but he's dangerous if getting into that rhythm again. Position Prediction: 2

LE NEZ CREUX (FR) C. Stone-Walsh

11/26.5

Fairly useful form over hurdles and similar form over fences, winning 4-y-o event at Compiegne in September and minor event at Auteuil a month later. Left Francois Nicolle for €320,000 later in November and well worth a market check having joined leading yard for big sum. Position Prediction: 3

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N/A

5

Dan Skelton's number of winners in past 10 runnings. (saddles HOE JOLY SMOKE)

N/A

23%

Paul Nicholls's strike rate with chasers running between 19f and up to 3m (saddles TWINJETS and IL RIDOTO)

N/A

31%

Nico de Boinville's strike rate when only having one ride at a meeting (chasers) (rides CALIFET EN VOL)

Bangor-On-Dee 15:02 Odds Comparison

Ayr

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Wolverhampton

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

5

23%

31%