17:15 Ayr Betting Odds Comparison

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Ayr

| Going: Soft (Heavy in places) | Briefing

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1 GUCHEN (FR) 33-858411 J: Aamilah Aswat (3) T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls ISP: 10/3	Industry Starting Price: 10/3	4.7
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1st 8 BALBOA 38-857433 J: Mr Jack Stenhouse (3) T: Seamus Mullins ISP: 10/3	Industry Starting Price: 10/3	5.7
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2 KAP BOY (FR) P442-1339 J: Tom Hutsby (3) T: Olly Murphy ISP: 7/2	Industry Starting Price: 7/2	4.8
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4 NICE ONE ERIC 4871 J: Elliott England T: Ben Pauling ISP: 15/2	Industry Starting Price: 15/2	9.6
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3rd 9 TRAVIS WHEATLEY (IRE) 44F-4P681 J: Rian Corcoran T: Adam Nicol ISP: 9/1	Industry Starting Price: 9/1	11
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3 PASO DOBLE (IRE) 722-13293 J: Mr Lucas Murphy (3) T: Paul Nicholls ISP: 10/1	Industry Starting Price: 10/1	13
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2nd 7 THANKYOUANDPLEASE (FR) 1207412U J: Oscar Palmer T: Syd Hosie ISP: 11/1	Industry Starting Price: 11/1	14.5
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6 SUMMERGROUNDS 211-52225 J: Mr Harvey James (5) T: Nicky Richards ISP: 14/1	Industry Starting Price: 14/1	19.5
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10 RICKETY GATE 641-60334 J: Ella McGarry (3) T: Nicky Richards ISP: 25/1	Industry Starting Price: 25/1	32
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5 WESTOFTIGNES (IRE) 66409421 J: D. A. Kidd (3) T: John McConnell, Ireland	NR	NR
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TRAVIS WHEATLEY was an impressive winner from the front at Newcastle at the end of last month and he looks the one beat if proving as effective over this longer trip. Guchen arrives seeking a hat-trick under Aamilah Aswat and is shortlisted, alongside the well-treated Balboa.

Betting Forecast

11/43.75 Guchen, 5/16 Nice One Eric, 15/28.5 Travis Wheatley, 8/19 Westoftignes, 12/113 Balboa, 14/115 Kap Boy, 14/115 Summergrounds, 14/115 Thankyouandplease, 20/121 Paso Doble, 25/126 Rickety Gate

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13:10 Ayr (R1) 2m110y C1 Hcap 9 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

Despite failing to complete a Red Rum Handicap hat-trick last week, SAINS BRUIT went with plenty of verve for a long way and with these conditions right up his street, he looks weighted to strike. Palacio's consistency isn't his strong suit but he's a major player if repeating his Newbury form, while French-recruit Le Nez Creux is the unknown quantity.

SANS BRUIT (FR) Harry Cobden

10/34.33

Ideally suited by front-running tactics and landed Red Rum Handicap Chase for second successive season 12 months ago. Down in the weights and shaped as though in good order when third in that renewal 9 days ago, brushed aside on long run to the last. Major claims from this mark. Position Prediction: 1

PALACIO (FR) Dylan Johnston

4/15

Free-going sort who got his chase career back on track in no uncertain terms when dominating a small-field contest at Newbury 4 weeks ago. Clearly seen to good effect on that occasion and 6 lb rise asks for more but he's dangerous if getting into that rhythm again. Position Prediction: 2

LE NEZ CREUX (FR) C. Stone-Walsh

11/26.5

Fairly useful form over hurdles and similar form over fences, winning 4-y-o event at Compiegne in September and minor event at Auteuil a month later. Left Francois Nicolle for €320,000 later in November and well worth a market check having joined leading yard for big sum. Position Prediction: 3

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N/A

21%

Olly Murphy's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f (saddles KAP BOY)

N/A

21%

Olly Murphy's strike rate in spring (saddles KAP BOY)

N/A

26%

Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f (saddles GUCHEN)

Ayr 17:15 Odds Comparison

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

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