13:45 Ayr Betting Odds Comparison

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Ayr

| Going: Soft (Heavy in places) | Briefing

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1 CASTLE IVERS (IRE) 1310/1- J: Sean Bowen T: Olly Murphy ISP: 4/1	Industry Starting Price: 4/1	6.6
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2nd 11 LANCE LES DES (FR) 53/37-3321 J: Sean Quinlan T: N. W. Alexander ISP: 9/2	Industry Starting Price: 9/2	5.8
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9 TRIPLE CROWN TED (IRE) 22-31412 J: Derek Fox T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore ISP: 6/1	Industry Starting Price: 6/1	12.5
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2 THE GRAY GHOST (IRE) 7-6454414 J: Callum Pritchard (3) T: Robbie Llewellyn ISP: 7/1	Industry Starting Price: 7/1	7.2
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3 BIBE MUS (FR) 132210 J: Harry Cobden T: Paul Nicholls ISP: 17/2	Industry Starting Price: 17/2	12
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7 SECRET FORCE (IRE) 144 J: Keith Donoghue T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland ISP: 17/2	Industry Starting Price: 17/2	13.5
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6 BERTIE'S BALLET 62312-740 J: Ryan Mania T: Dianne Sayer ISP: 11/1	Industry Starting Price: 11/1	12.5
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8 NEWTOWN RAMBLER (IRE) P-6P33781 J: Danny McMenamin T: Adrian Keatley ISP: 11/1	Industry Starting Price: 11/1	9.2
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4 CABALLO DE GUERRA (IRE) 337-14445 J: Jack Power (5) T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore ISP: 12/1	Industry Starting Price: 12/1	22
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3rd 5 MAGNA VICTOR 6/53-411 J: Ciaran Gethings T: Alastair Ralph ISP: 14/1	Industry Starting Price: 14/1	17.5
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1st 14 TUPPENCE (FR) U/408-24 J: Mr Lucas Murphy (7) T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore ISP: 18/1	Industry Starting Price: 18/1	19
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10 GINGER MAIL (FR) PP-643P30 J: Bruce Lynn T: N. W. Alexander ISP: 25/1	Industry Starting Price: 25/1	32
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12 RAVENSCRAIG CASTLE 5-9145354 J: William Maggs (3) T: Iain Jardine ISP: 25/1	Industry Starting Price: 25/1	32
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13 DANCE THIEF (IRE) 1233-5P19 J: Richie McLernon T: R. Mike Smith ISP: 40/1	Industry Starting Price: 40/1	55
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15 BELAYA RIVER (FR) 54125 J: Paul O'Brien T: Harry Derham ISP: 50/1	Industry Starting Price: 50/1	85
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CASTLE IVERS goes handicapping from what looks a lenient opening mark and is in the right hands to overcome an absence. He's taken to make it 2-2 over hurdles, while it's unlikely we've seen the best of Triple Crown Ted, either, and he rates the main danger in an ultra-competitive renewal. Veteran Ginger Mail looks a plausible contender of those at bigger prices.

Betting Forecast

6/17 Castle Ivers, 13/27.5 Triple Crown Ted, 8/19 Magna Victor, 10/111 Bibe Mus, 12/113 Secret Force, 12/113 Lance Les Des, 14/115 Newtown Rambler, 14/115 Belaya River, 16/117 The Gray Ghost, 20/121 Caballo De Guerra, 25/126 Ravenscraig Castle, 25/126 Dance Thief, 28/129 Tuppence, 33/134 Ginger Mail, 40/141 Bertie's Ballet

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13:10 Ayr (R1) 2m110y C1 Hcap 9 runners

Analyst Verdict 1-2-3

Despite failing to complete a Red Rum Handicap hat-trick last week, SAINS BRUIT went with plenty of verve for a long way and with these conditions right up his street, he looks weighted to strike. Palacio's consistency isn't his strong suit but he's a major player if repeating his Newbury form, while French-recruit Le Nez Creux is the unknown quantity.

SANS BRUIT (FR) Harry Cobden

10/34.33

Ideally suited by front-running tactics and landed Red Rum Handicap Chase for second successive season 12 months ago. Down in the weights and shaped as though in good order when third in that renewal 9 days ago, brushed aside on long run to the last. Major claims from this mark. Position Prediction: 1

PALACIO (FR) Dylan Johnston

4/15

Free-going sort who got his chase career back on track in no uncertain terms when dominating a small-field contest at Newbury 4 weeks ago. Clearly seen to good effect on that occasion and 6 lb rise asks for more but he's dangerous if getting into that rhythm again. Position Prediction: 2

LE NEZ CREUX (FR) C. Stone-Walsh

11/26.5

Fairly useful form over hurdles and similar form over fences, winning 4-y-o event at Compiegne in September and minor event at Auteuil a month later. Left Francois Nicolle for €320,000 later in November and well worth a market check having joined leading yard for big sum. Position Prediction: 3

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N/A

£26.04

Robbie Llewellyn's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) (saddles THE GRAY GHOST)

N/A

17%

Olly Murphy's strike rate with handicap hurdling debutants (saddles CASTLE IVERS)

N/A

21%

Olly Murphy's strike rate in spring (saddles CASTLE IVERS)

Ayr 13:45 Odds Comparison

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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

£26.04

17%

21%