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Timefigure preview: Royal Ascot Wednesday

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Timeform's Research and Development team look at the best timefigure performances ahead of the second day of Royal Ascot 2018 on Wednesday, picking out bets at 5/1 and 9/1.

Cracksman is the headline act in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes and despite the form of his two wins this year being open to question he holds an 11 lb advantage on Timeform ratings and a similar one on timefigures. Along with the Queen’s Vase (forecast favourite Southern France has a best timefigure of 93 and looked very babyish in front when winning a weak Listed race at Navan last time) and the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (form pick Hydrangea has a best timefigure of just 113), the race is one of several on the second day that make little betting appeal from a timefigure perspective.

The Jersey Stakes is one of two that does, however.

This contest is usually one targeted by 2000 Guineas also-rans and Expert Eye fits that bill having yet to live up to the promise of his win (114 timefigure) in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last summer. Irish 2,000 Guineas fifth Symbolization (113) is also scheduled to line up but the one we are keen on is Emaraaty who flopped in the Dewhurst last term but is back on track this year, finishing an excellent second in a very hot handicap at Goodwood last time.

He recorded a race-leading timefigure of 119 there and the return to a straight, galloping track - similar to Newbury where he was so impressive last year - promises to improve him again.

Wesley Ward’s Chelsea Cloisters heads the market for the Queen Mary Stakes, but though she was visually impressive when winning on her debut at Keeneland, subsequent races have shown she didn’t beat much and an internal provisional timefigure of 83 (and a TimeformUS figure of 89) for that win seemingly leaves her with a bit to find.

With the exception of those by Scat Daddy, Ward’s recent Ascot runners who started off on dirt haven’t pulled up many trees so there is probably value elsewhere. Catterick winner Second Generation and improving Irish filly Yolo Again (both 92) have the best timefigures, while Shades of Blue quickened up nicely when beating a couple of subsequent winners (including the re-opposing Come On Leicester) on her debut and Clive Cox’s filly has been kept fresh for this since.

Servalan runs here in preference to the Albany, though, and to our eyes will be difficult to beat. Jessica Harrington’s filly (by Scat Daddy’s son No Nay Never) was second at Dundalk on her debut in a sectionally-informative contest (upgrade 53 lb) and she could hardly have been more impressive on her only start since when coming from last to first in a steadily-run Listed race at Naas, a race that her trainer won in 2017 with subsequent Albany runner-up Alpha Centauri. The decision to swerve what looks a hot Albany and run here looks a sensible one.

Recommendation bets:

Back Emaraaty in the Jersey Stakes at 5/1

Back Servalan in the Queen Mary Stakes at 9/1

 
 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

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1st David Probert silk 4. CRACKERGEE 7/24.5
2nd Jason Watson silk nk 2. PREMIER (FR) 5/16
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Paddy Bradley silk 2. SAIL ON SAILOR 9/43.25f
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 1 4. CASE STUDY 4/15
3rd Luke Morris silk nk 7. FALLACIOUS PROMISE 3/14
T: Simon Dow  
10 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

20:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st L. T. McAteer silk 16. ONLY ONE SCOBIE (IRE) 25/126
2nd Nicola Burns silk 5 6. COSMIC FUNK (IRE) 12/113
3rd Shane Foley silk 2 10. BEAR RIGHT (IRE) 8/19
13 ran. NRs: 1  15  17  8 
FULL RESULT

20:20 FFOS LAS

1st George Wood silk 3. BUCK BARROW 6/52.2f
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk nk 1. ADRIAN (GER) 9/25.5
J: George Wood  
6 ran. NRs: 2  6 
FULL RESULT

20:10 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Rossa Ryan silk 8. RON'S ANGEL 8/111.72f
2nd Saffie Osborne silk ½ 10. ZIGAZIG AH 7/24.5
3rd Marco Ghiani silk 6. LAST DANDELION 9/110
J: Rossa Ryan  
T: John Butler  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

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1st G. F. Carroll silk 6. DALER (IRE) 12/113
2nd L. T. McAteer silk 10. MOLTO AMICHI (IRE) 5/16jf
3rd G. M. Ryan silk 15. COOLEY'S MIST (IRE) 33/134
15 ran. NRs: 14 
FULL RESULT

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1st Kieran Shoemark silk 5. WILLOW WOOD (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd Ray Dawson silk 1. REEM RAK (IRE) 11/112
3rd Jack Dace silk ¾ 9. MICK THE HAT (IRE) 13/27.5
T: Ed Walker  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Robbie Downey silk 7. RIVER IN PARADISE 66/167
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 4. FIRE THUNDER (IRE) 8/111.72f
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk ¾ 8. ROCSANE (IRE) 17/29.5
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

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1st C. T. Keane silk 3. HOW'STHEBAI (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Reese Holohan silk 4. MONVOE (IRE) 11/26.5
J: C. T. Keane  
7 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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