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Timefigure preview: Royal Ascot Wednesday

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Timeform's Research and Development team look at the best timefigure performances ahead of the second day of Royal Ascot 2018 on Wednesday, picking out bets at 5/1 and 9/1.

Cracksman is the headline act in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes and despite the form of his two wins this year being open to question he holds an 11 lb advantage on Timeform ratings and a similar one on timefigures. Along with the Queen’s Vase (forecast favourite Southern France has a best timefigure of 93 and looked very babyish in front when winning a weak Listed race at Navan last time) and the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (form pick Hydrangea has a best timefigure of just 113), the race is one of several on the second day that make little betting appeal from a timefigure perspective.

The Jersey Stakes is one of two that does, however.

This contest is usually one targeted by 2000 Guineas also-rans and Expert Eye fits that bill having yet to live up to the promise of his win (114 timefigure) in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last summer. Irish 2,000 Guineas fifth Symbolization (113) is also scheduled to line up but the one we are keen on is Emaraaty who flopped in the Dewhurst last term but is back on track this year, finishing an excellent second in a very hot handicap at Goodwood last time.

He recorded a race-leading timefigure of 119 there and the return to a straight, galloping track - similar to Newbury where he was so impressive last year - promises to improve him again.

Wesley Ward’s Chelsea Cloisters heads the market for the Queen Mary Stakes, but though she was visually impressive when winning on her debut at Keeneland, subsequent races have shown she didn’t beat much and an internal provisional timefigure of 83 (and a TimeformUS figure of 89) for that win seemingly leaves her with a bit to find.

With the exception of those by Scat Daddy, Ward’s recent Ascot runners who started off on dirt haven’t pulled up many trees so there is probably value elsewhere. Catterick winner Second Generation and improving Irish filly Yolo Again (both 92) have the best timefigures, while Shades of Blue quickened up nicely when beating a couple of subsequent winners (including the re-opposing Come On Leicester) on her debut and Clive Cox’s filly has been kept fresh for this since.

Servalan runs here in preference to the Albany, though, and to our eyes will be difficult to beat. Jessica Harrington’s filly (by Scat Daddy’s son No Nay Never) was second at Dundalk on her debut in a sectionally-informative contest (upgrade 53 lb) and she could hardly have been more impressive on her only start since when coming from last to first in a steadily-run Listed race at Naas, a race that her trainer won in 2017 with subsequent Albany runner-up Alpha Centauri. The decision to swerve what looks a hot Albany and run here looks a sensible one.

Recommendation bets:

Back Emaraaty in the Jersey Stakes at 5/1

Back Servalan in the Queen Mary Stakes at 9/1

 
 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Billy Loughnane silk 1. ASUKA 1/501.02f
2nd George Wood silk 10 3. YAZOO 12/113
All 3 ran.
QUICK RESULT

19:30 NAAS

1st T. Casey silk 6. DINAMINE (IRE) 17/29.5
2nd Sadhbh Tormey silk 11. FAMOUS ENOUGH (IRE) 7/18cf
3rd Jessica O'Gorman silk ¾ 18. MULLACASH BUZZ (IRE) 8/19
4th Orla Tynan silk sh 15. DUCHESS ANNE (IRE) 22/123
J: T. Casey (2)  
All 18 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:20 LEICESTER

1st David Egan silk 1. LIVEINTHELIGHT 5/42.25
2nd Tom Marquand silk 4. CARAWAY 11/102.1f
J: David Egan  
3 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

19:10 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Oisin Murphy silk 4. MISS MONEYPIT 9/43.25f
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 3. ROMIDIJO 11/43.75
J: Oisin Murphy  
T: Rod Millman  
7 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

19:00 NAAS

1st Pierre-Louis Jamin silk 8. SOUL LOVE 11/82.37f
2nd D. B. McMonagle silk ½ 10. DANCING SAXON (IRE) 25/126
3rd R. P. Whelan silk 2. FREGADA (IRE) 10/111
T: K. R. Burke  
All 15 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:50 LEICESTER

1st Tom Marquand silk 3. BUCKLAND BELLE 4/91.44f
2nd Tyler Heard silk 4. IVAT GHIA (IRE) 18/119
J: Tom Marquand  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Myla Coppins silk 1. THE CRAFTYMASTER 5/16
2nd Alexandra Egan silk sh 2. FRAM CASTLE (IRE) 10/111
J: Myla Coppins (7)  
T: Tony Carroll  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 NAAS

1st W. M. Lordan silk 4. BIG NEGOTIATOR 11/112
2nd D. B. McMonagle silk 8. SHIMMERING SUN (IRE) 2/13
3rd Shane Foley silk 3. BELLE OF THE BALL (IRE) 12/113
J: W. M. Lordan  
9 ran. NRs: 9 
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18:20 LEICESTER

1st Rossa Ryan silk 1. STAR VELOCITY 1/101.1f
2nd Charles Bishop silk 2. COURT ALERT (IRE) 11/26.5
J: Rossa Ryan  
All 4 ran.
FULL RESULT
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