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Cheltenham Festival Timefigure Preview: Wednesday

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Timeform's Research and Development team look at the best timefigure performances ahead of day two of the 2019 Cheltenham Festival.

The faint possibility that Tiger Roll would run in the Gold Cup and not the Glenfarclas Chase (16:10) was never any more than that, and now he has been declared to defend his cross-country crown, the 2018 Grand National winner must be included in any combination bets on day two of the Festival. All jumping disciplines come alike to the three-time Festival winner and his latest hurdles success over top two-mile handicapper Off You Go suggests he has never arrived at Cheltenham in better form. It’s hard to understand why he should be anywhere near as big as the widely-available 11-10.

Black Op at 10-1 in the market without Samcro was a winning selection for us in the Ballymore last year and there looks another bet as persuasive in this year’s renewal (13:30). Battleoverdoyen (136) and Beakstown (135) boast the best timefigures (though BrewinUpastorm would have recorded a 137 or thereabouts had he stood up last time), but the yet-to-be-extended Champ (132) isn’t far behind and he would be clear best of these on combined time and sectionals if factoring in the upgrade he was worth for disposing of the smart novice Getaway Trump with ease at Newbury last time. None of those horses have been missed in the market, however, but one who has is the unbeaten Galvin, who posted a useful 131 timefigure when winning at Navan two starts back and could have won by half the track at Ayr last time. Gordon Elliot’s charge has done all his racing at two miles and clearly doesn’t lack for speed, but his dam was an out-and-out stayer and the step up to the four-furlong longer trip promises to bring about a good deal of improvement. At 25-1 he looks worth an each-way interest with those firms paying four places.

 

Santini has recovered enough from his recent training setback to make the line-up for the RSA (14:10), but he looks vulnerable in a renewal in which it’s difficult to look beyond the first few in the market. Last year’s Albert Bartlett third has made a promising start to his chasing career, but in both the Albert Bartlett and the Kauto Star at Kempton over Christmas he took a long time to find his stride. Sectional upgrades just give him the edge over Kempton runner-up Topofthegame, but neither may be able to cope with Delta Workwho possesses a heady blend of speed and stamina. Delta Work wasn’t quite as good as Santini or Topofthegame over hurdles but, unlike that pair, he did score at the 2018 Festival when winning the Pertemps Final off a BHA mark of 139. His perfect three-from-three record over fences this season include a win in the Grade 1 Drinmore at Fairyhouse, in which he became the only horse to lower the colours of Le Richebourg over fences, and he backed that up last time with a timefigure nearly as good when not needing to be at his best in another Grade 1 at Leopardstown.

The Coral Cup (14:50) is full of familiar names, but one Cheltenham regular who missed last year returns off a very attractive mark in the shape of Tully East. In three Festivals, the 2017 Close Brothers winner has yet to finish out of the first six and he can line up here off a 2 lb lower mark than when fourth in the 2016 Martin Pipe. He is just as good over hurdles as fences and is the best handicapped horse in the race from a timefigure perspective. The Coral Cup will play to his come-from-behind style and his trainer Alan Fleming is in top form, having had two winners at Naas on Sunday. He’s unlikely to be far away and looks a solid each-way selection.

 

Neither of the three other events make great appeal from a betting perspective. Altior should win the Champion Chase with something to spare but is priced accordingly, while the Fred Winter and the Champion Bumper are both full of lightly-raced types that have for the most part contested falsely-run races. Fine Brunello and Envoi Allen would be the nominal timefigure selections in those events.

Recommended bets:

Back Galvin each-way in the Ballymore Novices' Hurdle at 25/1

Back Delta Work to win the RSA Chase at 2/1

Back Tully East each-way in the Coral Cup at 20/1

Back Tiger Roll to win the Glenfarclas Chase at 11/10

 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:50 FFOS LAS

1st David Probert silk 4. CRACKERGEE 7/24.5
2nd Jason Watson silk nk 2. PREMIER (FR) 5/16
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Paddy Bradley silk 2. SAIL ON SAILOR 9/43.25f
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 1 4. CASE STUDY 4/15
3rd Luke Morris silk nk 7. FALLACIOUS PROMISE 3/14
T: Simon Dow  
10 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

20:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st L. T. McAteer silk 16. ONLY ONE SCOBIE (IRE) 25/126
2nd Nicola Burns silk 5 6. COSMIC FUNK (IRE) 12/113
3rd Shane Foley silk 2 10. BEAR RIGHT (IRE) 8/19
13 ran. NRs: 1  15  17  8 
FULL RESULT

20:20 FFOS LAS

1st George Wood silk 3. BUCK BARROW 6/52.2f
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk nk 1. ADRIAN (GER) 9/25.5
J: George Wood  
6 ran. NRs: 2  6 
FULL RESULT

20:10 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Rossa Ryan silk 8. RON'S ANGEL 8/111.72f
2nd Saffie Osborne silk ½ 10. ZIGAZIG AH 7/24.5
3rd Marco Ghiani silk 6. LAST DANDELION 9/110
J: Rossa Ryan  
T: John Butler  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:00 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st G. F. Carroll silk 6. DALER (IRE) 12/113
2nd L. T. McAteer silk 10. MOLTO AMICHI (IRE) 5/16jf
3rd G. M. Ryan silk 15. COOLEY'S MIST (IRE) 33/134
15 ran. NRs: 14 
FULL RESULT

19:50 FFOS LAS

1st Kieran Shoemark silk 5. WILLOW WOOD (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd Ray Dawson silk 1. REEM RAK (IRE) 11/112
3rd Jack Dace silk ¾ 9. MICK THE HAT (IRE) 13/27.5
T: Ed Walker  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Robbie Downey silk 7. RIVER IN PARADISE 66/167
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 4. FIRE THUNDER (IRE) 8/111.72f
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk ¾ 8. ROCSANE (IRE) 17/29.5
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st C. T. Keane silk 3. HOW'STHEBAI (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Reese Holohan silk 4. MONVOE (IRE) 11/26.5
J: C. T. Keane  
7 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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