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Royal Ascot 2018 Ratings Update: The two-year-old races

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In part two of this week's Ratings Update, Nick Seddon highlights the major changes to the Timeform ratings from the two-year-old races at Royal Ascot 2018.

Coventry Stakes

The Coventry Stakes stands the purpose of being the first really major two-year-old race of the year, and it didn’t disappoint, producing as exciting a winner as we’ve seen in a while in Calyx (up 8 lb 118p). He lived up to the promise he’d shown at Newmarket ten days prior with a superb effort to win, despite being on the disadvantageous stand side.

Whilst he may be highly sprung (wears a blanket for stalls entry), he couldn’t be in a better yard to keep a lid on him, and considering that this race has seen seven of the last 10 winners go on to score in Group 1 company, it would be a major disappointment if the Kingman colt didn’t follow suit. The next two, Advertise (up 21 lb to 109p) and Sergei Prokofiev (up 3 lb 109p), showed form good enough to win a lesser running of this race, unlucky to have come up against such a talented rival, and they are likely to continue progressing.

Queen Mary Stakes

This year’s Queen Mary Stakes looks a sub-standard renewal, with a heaped finish and the slowest winning time since Langs Lash in 2008. For all that, though, there are some promising types amongst the 22 finishers, particularly Shades of Blue (now 100p), who looks as good a prospect as there is in the field, despite finishing third. A combination of inexperience and her high draw in 22 hindered her chances, and considering that she has plenty of strengthening to do, she has plenty of potential.

The first two home, Signora Cabello (up 11 lb to 100) and Gossamer Wings ( up from 81p to 100), are both forward two-year-olds, particularly the winner, whose attitude is particularly likeable, and both should continue to perform well this season in similar contests.

Norfolk Stakes 

The Norfolk Stakes looked open on paper heading into the race, and it produced as tight a finish as possible, in which Shang Shang Shang (up 13 lb to 102p) became the first filly to win the race since Superstar Leo in 2000, just holding off the challenge of Pocket Dynamo (now 105), with Land Force (now 103)third.

The form of the race looks inferior to the Coventry, with which it shares the same status, though the winner showed a commendable attitude to prevail when looking as if she may be swallowed up in the final furlong. The stable’s previous Norfolk winner No Nay Never went on to land the Prix Morny, though Shang Shang Shang would need to find substantial improvement if she is to follow in his footsteps.

Albany Stakes

Main Edition’s (up 5 lb to 104p) effort to win the Albany Stakes was similar form to that seen in the Queen Mary, with the principles finishing in a heap, though there is likely to be some useful types amongst the field, including the winner, who has plenty of scope and is likely to continue to make an impact in the best fillies’ races. The two who finished in behind the winner, La Pelosa (up 8 lb 102p) and Fairyland (102 from 96p), are both open to progress, too.

Chesham Stakes

The betting for the Chesham was dominated by the form pick Natalie’s Joy (103), who came into the race having posted an impressive timefigure on debut at Goodwood, but she didn’t look the same horse here after fluffing the start. This clearly wasn’t her running, and she’s worth another chance to confirm the abundant promise of her debut.

The underperformance of the favourite opened the door to Arthur Kitt (101p) to take advantage, looking more of a stayer than his two useful siblings, finding plenty in the final furlong to hold off Nate The Great (101p). Whilst this was only useful form at best, he appeals as the type to go on improving and will be suited by the step up to a mile in due course.

Windsor Castle Stakes

Saturday’s card featured a new slot for the Windsor Castle, previously the last race on the first day, but it's hard to think it deserves such a prominent pitch. Plenty in a large field were vanity runners, though the form of the principals was on a par with the supposedly superior Norfolk Stakes, the first two - Soldier’s Call (up 14 lb to 104p) and Sabre (now 102) - good enough to have gone close in that event.

Click to read Ratings UpdateGroup 1s 

Click to read Ratings Update: Handicaps

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:50 FFOS LAS

1st David Probert silk 4. CRACKERGEE 7/24.5
2nd Jason Watson silk nk 2. PREMIER (FR) 5/16
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Paddy Bradley silk 2. SAIL ON SAILOR 9/43.25f
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 1 4. CASE STUDY 4/15
3rd Luke Morris silk nk 7. FALLACIOUS PROMISE 3/14
T: Simon Dow  
10 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

20:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st L. T. McAteer silk 16. ONLY ONE SCOBIE (IRE) 25/126
2nd Nicola Burns silk 5 6. COSMIC FUNK (IRE) 12/113
3rd Shane Foley silk 2 10. BEAR RIGHT (IRE) 8/19
13 ran. NRs: 1  15  17  8 
FULL RESULT

20:20 FFOS LAS

1st George Wood silk 3. BUCK BARROW 6/52.2f
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk nk 1. ADRIAN (GER) 9/25.5
J: George Wood  
6 ran. NRs: 2  6 
FULL RESULT

20:10 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Rossa Ryan silk 8. RON'S ANGEL 8/111.72f
2nd Saffie Osborne silk ½ 10. ZIGAZIG AH 7/24.5
3rd Marco Ghiani silk 6. LAST DANDELION 9/110
J: Rossa Ryan  
T: John Butler  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:00 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st G. F. Carroll silk 6. DALER (IRE) 12/113
2nd L. T. McAteer silk 10. MOLTO AMICHI (IRE) 5/16jf
3rd G. M. Ryan silk 15. COOLEY'S MIST (IRE) 33/134
15 ran. NRs: 14 
FULL RESULT

19:50 FFOS LAS

1st Kieran Shoemark silk 5. WILLOW WOOD (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd Ray Dawson silk 1. REEM RAK (IRE) 11/112
3rd Jack Dace silk ¾ 9. MICK THE HAT (IRE) 13/27.5
T: Ed Walker  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Robbie Downey silk 7. RIVER IN PARADISE 66/167
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 4. FIRE THUNDER (IRE) 8/111.72f
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk ¾ 8. ROCSANE (IRE) 17/29.5
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st C. T. Keane silk 3. HOW'STHEBAI (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Reese Holohan silk 4. MONVOE (IRE) 11/26.5
J: C. T. Keane  
7 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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