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Ratings Update: Bristol on road to Cheltenham

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Ben Fearnley recaps the main changes to the Timeform ratings after Peter Marsh day at Haydock on Saturday and Leopardstown's Sunday action.

With Ascot’s Clarence House Chase card succumbing to the icy conditions in the South, Haydock was left to fly the flag for British jump racing on Saturday, and thankfully it provided an excellent seven-race card that was well worthy of taking centre stage on a Saturday afternoon.

The opening Grade 2, a two-and-a-half-mile novice chase, was a strong renewal in which the impressive Noel Novices’ Chase winner Politologue was sent off 6/4 favourite ahead of Malcolm Jefferson’s Waiting Patiently, who also had a couple of novice wins under his belt already. Though Politologue lost his unbeaten record over fences, he emerged with plenty of credit as he finished a length and a quarter behind his chief market rival, conceding 3 lb in the process and having raced prominently up with a strong pace throughout. Politologue is now Timeform rated c152 (from c148p), with the winner, who was aided by the way the race unfolded, now rated c150p (from c146p). Waiting Patiently will only run at the Cheltenham Festival if the ground is soft, according to his trainer.

The North triumphed in the first Grade 2, but normal service was resumed in the second as Harry Fry’s Neon Wolf ran out a very impressive winner of the Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle. The 5/4-on favourite looked a novice out of the top drawer, with his sharp turn of foot early in the straight sealing the race a long way from home. Neon Wolf is now rated h148P after just two starts over timber, and he would be a major contender for one of the novices at Cheltenham, though again connections were not keen to commit to a race at the Festival, with Fry suggesting that quicker ground would be off-putting.

One horse that will almost certainly be Cheltenham Festival bound is The New One, who recorded his third successive win in Haydock’s Champion Hurdle Trial. The New One has a tendency to make the odd mistake over his hurdles these days (rated h162x) and again made things hard for himself with a few less-than-fluent leaps here. That said, he didn’t have to be at his best to see off his disappointing market rival L’Ami Serge (who was found to have bled after the race), but showed great willingness under pressure to see off Clyne, who seemed to excel himself (now rated h142+). The New One will either head to the Champion Hurdle or the Stayers’ Hurdle – and he's certainly worth a go in the latter, in our opinion.

Nigel Twiston-Davies looked to have another Festival contender on his hands in the Peter Marsh Chase, too, with Bristol de Mai showing much improved form to win by 22 lengths. That winning margin was exaggerated given some of his opponents made late mistakes, and it is possible that this sort of performance may be something of a one-off given conditions were perfect for such an effort and he was a wide-margin winner of the Grade 2 novice on the same card last season. However, it was still a high-class effort from Bristol de Mai and he is now rated 165 (from 155). He's still only six, so worth his place in the Cheltenham Gold Cup field.

The Grade 3 novice chase at Leopardstown on Sunday has produced a few Gold Cup-level horses in recent years, including Sir des Champs and Djakadam, as well as the likes of Vautour. Unsurprisingly Willie Mullins had the answer once again, with three-time Grade 1-winning hurdler Yorkhill maintaining his unbeaten record over fences in smooth fashion. Even though he was only a length and a quarter ahead of Jett at the line, Yorkhill’s hard-held win puts him in the upper range of this season’s novice chasers (rated c148P) and it's no surprise he's a short price for the JLT.

 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:50 FFOS LAS

1st David Probert silk 4. CRACKERGEE 7/24.5
2nd Jason Watson silk nk 2. PREMIER (FR) 5/16
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Paddy Bradley silk 2. SAIL ON SAILOR 9/43.25f
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 1 4. CASE STUDY 4/15
3rd Luke Morris silk nk 7. FALLACIOUS PROMISE 3/14
T: Simon Dow  
10 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

20:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st L. T. McAteer silk 16. ONLY ONE SCOBIE (IRE) 25/126
2nd Nicola Burns silk 5 6. COSMIC FUNK (IRE) 12/113
3rd Shane Foley silk 2 10. BEAR RIGHT (IRE) 8/19
13 ran. NRs: 1  15  17  8 
FULL RESULT

20:20 FFOS LAS

1st George Wood silk 3. BUCK BARROW 6/52.2f
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk nk 1. ADRIAN (GER) 9/25.5
J: George Wood  
6 ran. NRs: 2  6 
FULL RESULT

20:10 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Rossa Ryan silk 8. RON'S ANGEL 8/111.72f
2nd Saffie Osborne silk ½ 10. ZIGAZIG AH 7/24.5
3rd Marco Ghiani silk 6. LAST DANDELION 9/110
J: Rossa Ryan  
T: John Butler  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:00 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st G. F. Carroll silk 6. DALER (IRE) 12/113
2nd L. T. McAteer silk 10. MOLTO AMICHI (IRE) 5/16jf
3rd G. M. Ryan silk 15. COOLEY'S MIST (IRE) 33/134
15 ran. NRs: 14 
FULL RESULT

19:50 FFOS LAS

1st Kieran Shoemark silk 5. WILLOW WOOD (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd Ray Dawson silk 1. REEM RAK (IRE) 11/112
3rd Jack Dace silk ¾ 9. MICK THE HAT (IRE) 13/27.5
T: Ed Walker  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:40 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Robbie Downey silk 7. RIVER IN PARADISE 66/167
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 4. FIRE THUNDER (IRE) 8/111.72f
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk ¾ 8. ROCSANE (IRE) 17/29.5
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st C. T. Keane silk 3. HOW'STHEBAI (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Reese Holohan silk 4. MONVOE (IRE) 11/26.5
J: C. T. Keane  
7 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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