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French Preview: For You, not against You

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Nic Doggett previews the Prix Rothschild which takes place at Deauville on Sunday, and picks out an 11/2 selection.

Sunday’s Prix Rothschild is a race that was dominated not by one trainer around the turn of this decade, but by one horse: Goldikova. Her trainer Freddy Head, who also won this race six times as a jockey, produced the mare to perfection for four straight victories between 2008 and 2011, and whilst Goldikova (and her offspring Terrakova and Galikova) are now busy in the paddocks, Head’s attentions are very much on this year’s renewal as he saddles three runners, one of whom races in the Wertheimer & Frere silks that Goldikova’s jockey Olivier Peslier sported.

Enlighted is the second foal of Flash Dance, who acted as the 100/1 pacemaker for Goldikova when she secured her fourth and final Rothschild win in 2011, and the four-year-old filly (by Invincible Spirit) has already surpassed the achievements of her useful dam. She has four wins to her name, including a career-best performance in a 1m listed contest at Longchamp in May, but was unable to repeat that form when only fifth of seven in a Group 3 at Chantilly last month that is yet to produce a winner from five subsequent runs.

The three-year-old filly With You, who races in the George Strawbridge colours of another great French mare Moonlight Cloud (five course wins, including three in the Prix Maurice de Gheest), is much less exposed. She won her first two starts last season, including a fillies’ Group 3 over C&D last October, and has improved again in two top-level outings this term.

Having reportedly taken a long time to come to hand this year, she made the Karl Burke-trained Laurens fight all the way in the Prix Saint-Alary at Longchamp in late-May, only losing out by a short head, and she ran to a similar level when beaten less than half a length into fifth behind the same rival in the two-furlong longer Prix de Diane at Chantilly last month, holding every chance until run out of things close home. This drop in trip will suit and she looks a major contender.

Fellow three-year-old Sea Prose has achieved less in her five starts, but a repeat of her reappearance second in the Prix de la Grotte at Longchamp would see her far from disgraced.

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Rosa Imperial represents Andre Fabre – who became the joint leading trainer in the race when Esoterique won it in 2014 – and this five-year-old mare looks a major contender. Despite not making the track until her four-year-old season, she won her first three starts, all over sprint trips in the space of six weeks last term, and ran respectably on her return in March after a spell on the sidelines due to sore shins and a muscle problem. The Godolphin-owned filly was below form trying dirt for the first time at Meydan later that month, but showed herself to be better than ever after three months off when winning a nine-runner listed race over C&D last time by one and a quarter lengths from Lady Frankel (I Am Charlie third), making most and quickening over a furlong out.

She’s up in grade, but is respected, as is fellow Godolphin runner Crown Walk who has a progressive profile, for all she didn’t need to improve on her Prix Sandringham form (three quarters of a length second to Mission Impassible) when winning the Prix Chloe in a tight finish, also at Chantilly, last time.

Mission Impassible, a daughter of the Michael Bell-trained Nunthorpe winner Margot Did, clearly takes more stamina from her sire Galileo. She was successful three times in 2017, when also third in the Prix Marcel Boussac at Chantilly (one and a half lengths behind Wild Illusion), and was better than the result in the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches at Longchamp in May, beaten only three and a half lengths by Teppal despite getting no sort of run and being allowed to coast home. She put up her best effort to gain a first pattern-race win in the Sandringham and isn’t one to take lightly here.

Though the British contingent makes up a smaller percentage of the total field than has often been the case in French Group 1s this season, one of the team – Aljazzi – tops Timeform’s weight-adjusted ratings for the race.

The well-travelled five-year-old failed to add to her 2017 wins at Kempton and Sandown (Atalanta Stakes) in the Grade 2 Goldikova Stakes at Del Mar last November, but she has bounced back to her best in two starts this season, including going one better than a year earlier when securing a three and three-quarter length win over Tribute Act in the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. She’s respected, but it’s worth noting that the very strong pace there set the race up perfectly and she may not get the same scenario here; she’s also 0/2 in Group 1s, for all that her first try in that company (1000 Guineas in 2016) came when clearly not ready.

Tribute Act has now finished runner-up on her last three starts, though she deserves plenty of credit for her Royal Ascot effort (as do her connections for supplementing her for £15,000) considering her two previous starts had come in handicap company. She’s clearly progressive, but was no match for Aljazzi there, and there’s no obvious reason why this fellow hold-up performer should reverse the form.

The third British raider Tomyris has more pattern-race experience, but the Chartwell Stakes winner (by half a length from Lincoln Rocks, Hunaina fifth) was only fifth behind Aljazzi in the Duke of Cambridge. She stays an easy mile, so this venue should hold no fears, but will need a clear career-best to feature prominently. Multiple all-weather winner Hunaina wasn't seen to best effect back on the turf at Lingfield and shaped as if still in good form, which she then proved to be correct when winning the Group 3 Prix Bertrand du Breuil at Chantilly (Enlighted fifth) last time.

Conclusion

To sum up, with British hopes nearly all in one Aljazzi-shaped basket, the overall quality of the French runners is expected to rise to the fore. Last time out winners Mission Impassible and Rosa Imperial are respected, however With You has run two fine races in defeat this season and is still flying under the radar somewhat at around 11/2; she can become the third three-year-old winner of this race in a row.

Recommended bet:

Back With You to win Sunday's Prix Rothschild at 11/2

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1st Harry Reed silk 5. EDGEWELL (IRE) 10/111
2nd Conor Ring silk 3 1. THE MAGUS (IRE) 4/15
J: Harry Reed  
7 ran. NRs: 3  7 
QUICK RESULT

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1st Kieran Shoemark silk 2. MOONSHINE (IRE) 11/82.37
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk 4. ARCHER'S GRACE (IRE) 5/61.83f
T: Ed Walker  
4 ran. NRs: 1 
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1st Dylan Johnston silk 5. WALK THE PLANK (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd Tabitha Worsley silk sh 4. BALLYWOOD (FR) 11/112
T: Clare Hobson  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:30 HEREFORD

1st Harry Cobden silk 1. VOL ROYALE (IRE) 7/42.75f
2nd Toby McCain-Mitchell silk 3. BEAU QUALI (FR) 33/134
J: Harry Cobden  
6 ran. NRs: 5  6 
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16:15 HUNTINGDON

1st Tom Bellamy silk 7. SNAPIUS (IRE) 10/34.33
2nd Craig Nichol silk 6. SUPREME SHOT 17/29.5
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T: James Owen  
6 ran. NRs: 3 
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1st Sean Bowen silk 2. WANDERING EGO (IRE) 4/91.44f
2nd Jonathan Burke silk 7. SECRET SNIPER 9/110
3rd Alex Chadwick silk 17 1. DREAM DIAMOND (IRE) 9/25.5
J: Sean Bowen  
T: Olly Murphy  
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1st Sam Twiston-Davies silk 1. SILVER HILL (IRE) 4/71.57f
2nd Conor Ring silk 3. GUARDAMI ANCORA (FR) 4/15
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1st Tom Bellamy silk 3. KITTYS GLANCE 11/82.37f
2nd Harry Bannister silk 1 5. PURE OCEAN (IRE) 7/24.5
J: Tom Bellamy  
T: Alan King  
6 ran. NRs: 4 
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