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Jamie Lynch: The Saturday Schedule

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Ahead of one of the busiest and best days in the racing calendar, billed as Super Saturday, Timeform chief correspondent Jamie Lynch provides a timeline for what to expect, and where, and from whom.

SUPER SATURDAY TIMELINE

15th JULY 2017

08.10     ADVANCE TOWARDS ALCOHOLISM

The Lions have a lot to answer for. Your body clock urges an early rise, your body urges an early beer, in synch with the last few Saturdays, but it’s Super Saturday so what the hell, it’s not as if you’ll still be sat there drinking and dribbling at midnight…

09.00     TOAST AND TWITTER

A toast to summer Saturdays, and another beer, while taking to the Tweet machine for a quick game of hide and seek, to hide behind your purist persona and seek credibility by being pointed and political. Use this as a prototype:

Be picky and prickly. It’s not as you’ll still be sat there drinking and dribbling and Tweeting at midnight…

10.00     TV TIMES

Option 1: Practice for British Grand Prix. Going round in circles.

Option 2: Second day, Second Test, Eng v SA. Rounders in a circle.

Option 3: The Opening Show. Olly and the teamset up Super Saturday.

Option 4: The Oh-Punning Show. Get a computer, find an archive, and treat yourself to an hour of Stewart Machin’s finest commentaries, counting down to Funk Soul Brother winning at York (17/05/12).

12.00     PRICES AND PLACEPOTS

There are more bets to be placed – many more – but now is the time for Oddscheckering those you’ve already struck, not for information purposes but for smug purposes, though any shortening of the prices means only one of two things: non-runners or Hugh Taylor.

These are perfect placepot cards, but when you spend an hour of working out the shortlist and working out the lines to discover that it involves a four-figure outlay, per meeting, and then you summon up an image of Fred, the only response is ‘sod that’.

But it’s hardly time wasted, as the extra study means you’re all the more prepared to act and react during the afternoon, and it’s not as if you’ll still be sat there drinking and dribbling and Tweeting and betting at midnight…

1.40        THEY’RE OFF

And so it begins, not with a firework but a tap of the glass, a seven-furlong novice and a chance to make knee-jerk reactions about strips of ground at Ascot. It’s a long afternoon and this minefield race is a recce, one for settling in not splashing out…but the previous winners don’t look that good, and you’ve heard positive reports about Laugh A Minute, and Varian’s had two first-time winners this season, and what the hell.  

2.10        TAKE A BOW

Cracksman, Rhododendron and Usherette are all high-profile contenders for the award, but the winner of ‘unluckiest horse of the season’ goes unanimously to Orion’s Bow, who might have won at Musselburgh and definitely would have at Newcastle but for traffic and timing. Granted luck, or at least no bad luck, he’ll take some beating in this five-furlong dash at Ascot, as he’s just about the best-handicapped sprinter around.

 

2.50        TURN OF THE CENTURY

City of Joy is another nomination in the misfortune stakes after his run through at Royal Ascot, and this bet365 Mile at Newmarket is something of a Britannia sequel, but while all that was going on Century Dream was taken to Doncaster for a lesson in racing efficiency, finally passing the test there, thanks to the hood and the mile. He’s always had a big engine, and now it’s finely tuned, making him ready and more than able for a valuable handicap like this.

3.00        THE FA TROPHY

As a supporter of the recently-relegated Hartlepool United, the FA Trophy is now for me what the listed Corbett Sports City Plate Stakes at Chester is to all journeymen jockeys, Ian Brennan landing it in 2014 before back-to-back wins for Paddy Mathers. Super Saturday spreads itself thin, but it spreads the love.      

3.05        GOLDFINGER

The name’s Bond. Victory Bond. And two wins in the last six editions show that William Haggas is the man with the Midas touch for the John Smith’s Cup. To say Victory Bond has been laid out for this is an understatement, having his sighter over shorter at York’s May meeting and a profiler’s dream for a top-end handicap like this, low on mileage and high on potential.

3.25        BUNBURY CUP

Pass. Try this ante-post preview instead.

3.50        PREDICTABLY UNPREDICTABLE

That’s the beauty of racing, and the reason for treading carefully with the Summer Mile at Ascot, because, on the face of it, this is the most predictable race of the whole day.

Dutch Connection has his Goodwood tune-up in fourth.

Sovereign Debt runs his heart out in third.

Deauville does his ‘I’m not quite a Group 1 horse’ impression in second.

Mutakayyef does his ‘I’m a Group 1 horse’ in first.

 

4.00        ARTIST AT WORK

Not many two-year-olds can break the 100-barrier on the Timeform scale in a mere maiden, but Gustav Klimt did at the Curragh, on his second start, when putting in a closing sectional that suggests he’s the real deal. He’s already short for the Superlative at Newmarket, but he’s 16/1 for the Guineas, and that could be halved if he does what we think he can, with nothing else impressing so far amongst the colts, the best two-year-olds to date all female.

4.15        REPEAT PERFORMANCE

Marsha was but a baby when she won this City Walls Stakes at York last year, doing a lot since then, besides getting her backside smacked by Lady Aurelia, and you’d think she’d have bigger fish to fry these days, but it’s hard to see what can stop her on these terms if she does run, as much as 7 lb clear on Timeform adjusted ratings. (Editor's note: Marsha wasn't declared for this race).

4.35        THE MAIN EVENT

The market says it’s 50/50 that Caravaggio wins the July Cup. Everything about him, from his unwavering power to his unbeaten profile, suggests the odds should be more in his favour, but you only have to refer back to the magnificent Muhaarar for evidence that the Royal Ascot-July Cup double is a tall order for a three-year-old, as Tropics got within a nose that day of upsetting one of the best sprinters we’ve seen for ages.

He has passed every test so far, but this is his biggest one yet, for the examination from the elders, for the environment and for the timing. This is ‘D’ Day for Caravaggio.

5.55        READY AND ENABLE

She’s turned from second-string to Shutter Speed into flagbearer for the three-year-olds, at least in the mile-and-a-half division, nothing yet out of the Derby to suggest that the Oaks wasn’t the better performance at Epsom. Following up in the Irish version at the Curragh should be a formality, but it will act as a window into Enable's future, informing whether she’s the best of an ordinary bunch or a star in the making.

21.30     ATR AMERICAN COVERAGE

If it has got to this, then we’re all in trouble.

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:30 NEWCASTLE

1st Conor Whiteley silk 4. PIT BOSS 15/82.87f
2nd Joe Bradnam silk nk 2. ANDALPROFIT (IRE) 7/24.5
3rd Owen Lewis silk 6. INSTANT BOND 9/25.5
J: Conor Whiteley (3)  
T: Liam Bailey  
8 ran. NRs: 5  8 
FULL RESULT

20:00 NEWCASTLE

1st Callum Shepherd silk 2. SOUTHERN WARRIOR (IRE) 2/13f
2nd Mikkel Mortensen silk nk 3. MIGHTY VEGA (IRE) 12/113
T: George Scott  
7 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

19:30 NEWCASTLE

1st Jason Hart silk 2. ALFA DUPLICATE (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Sam James silk hd 1. COOL MOLLY (IRE) 10/34.33
3rd Luke Morris silk 4. ESPONA BAY (IRE) 5/16
J: Jason Hart  
T: Ivan Furtado  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:00 NEWCASTLE

1st George Bass silk 6. BARRY'S BOY (IRE) 9/43.25f
2nd Jason Hart silk nk 1. SELECTION (IRE) 9/25.5
3rd Mark Winn silk 1 2. ALPHA CAPTURE (IRE) 28/129
J: George Bass  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 NEWCASTLE

1st Cam Hardie silk 3. SMARTANCK (IRE) 50/151
2nd David Nolan silk nk 2. KAMEKO FEVER (IRE) 8/19
3rd Joanna Mason silk sh 5. SAILOR BATT (IRE) 5/16
J: Cam Hardie  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 NEWCASTLE

1st Sam James silk 3. RECENCY BIAS (IRE) 15/82.87
2nd Billy Loughnane silk 5 4. ZATSGOOD 4/91.44f
J: Sam James  
T: K. R. Burke  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:43 SOUTHWELL

1st Cieren Fallon silk 8. SEA SUITE (IRE) 9/25.5jf
2nd Jack Mitchell silk 7. ASH WEDNESDAY 5/16
3rd Alistair Rawlinson silk nk 1. GRABAJABBA 9/25.5jf
T: James Owen  
All 12 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:30 NEWCASTLE

1st Hollie Doyle silk 7. WAREETH (IRE) 5/42.25
2nd Jason Hart silk 14 3. SHOWCASING STAR (IRE) 6/17
3rd Faye McManoman silk 9 1. BALMORAL BOY (IRE) 80/181
J: Hollie Doyle  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:22 NAVAN

1st Mr P. W. Mullins silk 6. GLENS ANTHEM (IRE) 9/43.25
2nd Mr A. D. Bustin silk 8. BUNKER BUSTER (IRE) 13/82.62f
3rd Miss P. Elvin silk 1. COLOSSAL IMPACT 12/113
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT
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